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Home › Spain › La Liga › Barcelona — Mallorca

Barcelona vs Mallorca 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 15:15
3:0
Full-time
Mallorca
Mallorca
W D L L W Away · last 5
Spotify Camp Nou · Barcelona Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.92 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 44% · book 2.25 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.75 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.63 – 0.80
Δ +1.83
Possession
76% – 24%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.92 — +3.7% better than the market.

Barcelona enters this La Liga clash with strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack that outmatches Mallorca's defensive setup. The hosts' pressing edge and superior form suggest control over the game's rhythm, especially at Camp Nou. Mallorca's defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent away form add to Barcelona's advantage.

  • Home attacking threat vs away defensive frailty
  • Recent winning streak fuels confidence
  • Likely high-tempo match with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.92 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BAR 4-3-3 · MAL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BAR
67' Torres ↑ · Rashford ↓
67' Bernal ↑ · Olmo ↓
78' Cancelo ↑ · Lewandowski ↓
78' Bardghji ↑ · Yamal ↓
84' Marques ↑ · Fermín ↓
Subs used · MAL
62' Sanchez ↑ · Morey Bauza ↓
62' Darder ↑ · Torre ↓
62' Joseph ↑ · Virgili ↓
77' Morlanes ↑ · Costa ↓
77' Llabres ↑ · Muriqi ↓

Statistics

BAR 3 – 0 MAL
76%
Possession (%)
24%
2.63
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.80
24
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
6
12
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
8
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

13 · 3 – 0
R. Lewandowski
Assist · D. Olmo · 1–0
⚽
29'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Lamine Yamal
Assist · D. Olmo · 2–0
⚽
61'
62'
⇄
A. Sanchez ↓ · M. Morey Bauza ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
S. Darder ↓ · P. Torre ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⇄
M. Joseph ↓ · J. Virgili ↑
Substitution 3
F. Torres ↓ · M. Rashford ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
M. Bernal ↓ · D. Olmo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
77'
⇄
M. Morlanes ↓ · Samu Costa ↑
Substitution 4
77'
⇄
J. Llabres ↓ · V. Muriqi ↑
Substitution 5
J. Cancelo ↓ · R. Lewandowski ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
R. Bardghji ↓ · Lamine Yamal ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
M. Bernal
Assist · Fermin · 3–0
⚽
83'
T. Marques ↓ · Fermín ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Barcelona beat Mallorca 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 76% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.63 to 0.80. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 9, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 3.

On the scoresheet: R. Lewandowski (29'), Lamine Yamal (61'), M. Bernal (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.04 units (Brier 0.086).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.92 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.25 — 44% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.75 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 — 46% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Draw 9.00 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 1.19 — 83% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.04 — 83% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Double Chance X2 6.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.28 — 75% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.75 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 8.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 29.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 18.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 10.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.04u −36% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
BAR – MAL @ 1.92
+3.7%
Edge
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