P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano February 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee I. Diaz
Home Win · REA
77%
Best 1.25
Draw
17%
Best 6.55
Away Win · RAY
6%
Best 10.20
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.31
Fair odds
2.22
book 2.31 · +4.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +4.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 6.2%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.1%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6.2%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.