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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Madrid Referee I. Diaz

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
77%
Best 1.25
Draw
17%
Best 6.55
Away Win · RAY
6%
Best 10.20
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.10
Fair odds
5.85
book 6.10 · +4.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +4.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (77%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.2%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.1%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.2%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
REA – RAY @ 6.10
+4.3%
Edge
Forecast →