Sevilla vs Athletic Club 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.52 — +8.2% better than the market.

Sevilla hosts Athletic Club in a La Liga clash where home momentum and defensive solidity could be key. Sevilla's home edge is noticeable, with a compact backline likely to challenge Athletic's slightly stronger attack. Recent form shows Sevilla gaining traction, while Athletic's defensive struggles may be exposed on the road. Expect a tactical battle with moderate pace, leaning towards a tight contest with limited goals.

Sevilla's home defensive resilience
Athletic's attacking potential vs Sevilla's defense
Form trends favoring home side's momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.52 ✓ Cashed

AI 71% Implied 66% +0.52u

+52%

ROI on stake

Lineups

SEV 5-3-2 · BIL 4-2-3-1

SEV · 5-3-2 4-2-3-1 · BIL

7 Romero

Subs used · SEV

46'

Castrin ↑ ·

Sow ↓

57'

Oso ↑ ·

Suazo ↓

73'

Bueno ↑ ·

Gudelj ↓

81'

Jordan ↑ ·

Peque ↓

81'

Ejuke ↑ ·

Romero ↓

Subs used · BIL

57'

Williams ↑ ·

Navarro ↓

57'

Hierro ↑ ·

Izeta ↓

58'

Gomez ↑ ·

Ruiz de Galarreta ↓

72'

Vesga ↑ ·

Jauregizar ↓

77'

Serrano ↑ ·

Sancet ↓

Statistics

SEV 2 – 1 BIL

50%

Possession (%)

50%

2.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.74

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 2 – 1

21'

▮

Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta

Yellow Card

40'

⚽

R. Navarro

0–1

Peque

Assist · J. Sanchez · 1–1

⚽

42'

Half-time · 1 – 1

Castrin ↓ · D. Sow ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

A. Adams (P)

Penalty · 2–1

⚽

56'

Oso ↓ · G. Suazo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

⇄

N. Williams ↓ · R. Navarro ↑

Substitution 1

57'

⇄

A. Hierro ↓ · Izeta ↑

Substitution 2

58'

⇄

U. Gomez ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑

Substitution 3

Nemanja Gudelj

Yellow Card

▮

62'

72'

⇄

M. Vesga ↓ · M. Jauregizar ↑

Substitution 4

M. Bueno ↓ · N. Gudelj ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

77'

⇄

N. Serrano ↓ · O. Sancet ↑

Substitution 5

Joan Jordan ↓ · Peque ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

C. Ejuke ↓ · I. Romero ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

Joan Jordán

Yellow Card

▮

86'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Sevilla beat Athletic Club 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 3 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Navarro (40'), Peque (42'), A. Adams (56').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.27 units (Brier 0.171).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.41	—	41%	Cashed	+1.41	Cashed
BTTS No	1.89	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.66	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	48%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.06	—	42%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Away Win	2.74	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.89	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.52	—	71%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Home Win	3.00	—	42%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.45	—	68%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.15	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	89%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.24	—	78%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.35	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.27u	−13% ROI

Sevilla vs Athletic Club 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled