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Home Spain La Liga Mallorca — Athletic Club

Predictions Mallorca vs Athletic Club January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Mallorca
Mallorca
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 15:15
3:2
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca Referee Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain
Home Win · MAL
29%
Best 3.80
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · BIL
43%
Best 2.15
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.70
Fair odds
3.46
book 3.70 · +7.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +7.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (43%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 28.9%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.79
Show model details
Implied probability 35.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.7%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.3%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.6%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
MAL – BIL @ 3.70
+7.1%
Edge
Forecast →