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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca

Match Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca January 11, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Mallorca
Mallorca
W D L L W Away · last 5
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas · Madrid Referee Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.95 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.61 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.73 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.32 – 0.72
Δ +1.60
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Rayo Vallecano hosts Mallorca in a La Liga clash where Mallorca holds a clear quality edge. Despite Rayo's slightly better recent points per game, Mallorca's stronger overall strength and more solid defensive numbers suggest they can absorb pressure well. The home side's defensive frailty contrasts with Mallorca's compact block, hinting at a tactical battle where Mallorca may control tempo.

  • Home momentum tempered by defensive struggles
  • Away side's disciplined defense and counter threat
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

RAY 4-2-3-1 · MAL 4-4-2
RAY · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · MAL 13 Batalla 2 Rațiu 24 Lejeune 32 Mendy 3 Chavarría 23 Valentín 4 Díaz 14 Martín 7 Palazón ⚽ 18 García 19 Frutos ⚽ 1 Román 23 Maffeo 24 Valjent 4 Kumbulla 22 Mojica 6 Sánchez 12 Costa 5 Mascarell 3 Lato 17 Virgili 7 Muriqi ⚽
Subs used · RAY
38' Balliu ↑ · Ratiu ↓
69' Gumbau ↑ · Diaz ↓
69' Pacha ↑ · de Frutos ↓
79' Perez ↑ · Martin ↓
81' Nteka ↑ · Garcia ↓
Subs used · MAL
59' Joseph ↑ · Lato ↓
70' Darder ↑ · Sanchez ↓
70' Torre ↑ · Mascarell ↓
81' Prats ↑ · Maffeo ↓
81' Llabres ↑ · Costa ↓

📊 Statistics

RAY 2 – 1 MAL
53%
Possession (%)
47%
2.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.72
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
14
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
1
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

20 · 2 – 1
J. de Frutos
Assist · A. Garcia · 1–0
⚽
4'
15'
▮
Johan Mojica
Yellow Card
30'
⚽
V. Muriqi
Assist · T. Lato · 1–1
I. Balliu ↓ · A. Ratiu ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
38'
40'
▮
Martin Valjent
Yellow Card
I. Palazon (P)
Penalty · 2–1
⚽
42'
Half-time · 2 – 1
Jorge de Frutos
Yellow Card
▮
46'
58'
▮
Toni Lato
Yellow Card
59'
⇄
M. Joseph ↓ · T. Lato ↑
Substitution 1
61'
▮
Pablo Maffeo
Yellow Card
G. Gumbau ↓ · P. Diaz ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
69'
Pacha ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
69'
70'
⇄
S. Darder ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 2
70'
⇄
P. Torre ↓ · O. Mascarell ↑
Substitution 3
F. Perez ↓ · C. Martin ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
Óscar Valentín
Red Card
▮
80'
R. Nteka ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
81'
⇄
A. Prats ↓ · P. Maffeo ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⇄
J. Llabres ↓ · Samu Costa ↑
Substitution 5
86'
▮
Pablo Torre
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.95 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.61 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.73 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.54 — 37% Cashed +1.54 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.24 — 42% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Home Win 1.97 — 43% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Away Win 4.80 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.88 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.50 — 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.23 — 71% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.41 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.12 — 88% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 — 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.37 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.10 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.38 — 43% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.82u −22% ROI