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Oviedo vs Real Betis 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Real Betis
Real Betis
W D W L W Away · last 5
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.98 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.84 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 58% · book 1.98 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.24 – 1.62
Δ −0.38
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.98 — +14.8% better than the market.

Real Betis arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Oviedo’s defensive solidity might keep things tight, but Betis’ attacking threat and superior overall strength hint at control. Expect a measured pace with a compact home block and Betis pressing to break it down.

  • Betis’ offensive edge against Oviedo’s defense
  • Home side’s recent struggles dampen momentum
  • Likely tactical battle with Betis favored to create chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.98 ✗ Lost
AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · BET 4-3-3
Subs used · OVI
57' Fonseca ↑ · Sibo ↓
76' Borbas ↑ · Fores ↓
76' Brekalo ↑ · Hassan ↓
85' Lopez ↑ · Chaira ↓
86' Dendoncker ↑ · Colombatto ↓
Subs used · BET
61' Bellerin ↑ · Ortiz ↓
74' Riquelme ↑ · Ruibal ↓
80' Avila ↑ · Hernandez ↓
80' Rodriguez ↑ · Firpo ↓

Statistics

OVI 1 – 1 BET
42%
Possession (%)
58%
1.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.62
13
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
7
8
Shots Inside Box
10
5
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
8
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
David Carmo
Yellow Card
▮
48'
N. Fonseca ↓ · K. Sibo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
57'
61'
⇄
H. Bellerin ↓ · A. Ortiz ↑
Substitution 1
I. Chaira
Assist · A. Fores · 1–0
⚽
64'
74'
⇄
R. Riquelme ↓ · A. Ruibal ↑
Substitution 2
T. Borbas ↓ · A. Fores ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
76'
J. Brekalo ↓ · H. Hassan ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
80'
⇄
C. Avila ↓ · Cucho Hernandez ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
R. Rodriguez ↓ · J. Firpo ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⚽
G. Lo Celso
Assist · Antony · 1–1
J. Lopez ↓ · I. Chaira ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
L. Dendoncker ↓ · S. Colombatto ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Thiago Borbas
Yellow Card
▮
88'
Nicolas Fonseca
Yellow Card
▮
88'
90'
▮
Chimy Ávila
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Oviedo and Real Betis drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: I. Chaira (64'), G. Lo Celso (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.68 units (Brier 0.174).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.98 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.84 — 59% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Away Win 1.98 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.15 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.93 — 43% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.93 — 42% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.26 — 83% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.40 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 — 79% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 89% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.37 — 67% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.00 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.19 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.41 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.68u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
OVI – BET @ 1.98
+14.8%
Edge
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