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Home › Spain › La Liga › Getafe — Real Sociedad

Getafe vs Real Sociedad 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Getafe
Getafe
Home · last 5 L D W L W
Kick-off
Fri 09 Jan · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Coliseum · Getafe Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.74 ✓
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 46% · book 2.20 ✗
Hit
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 54% · book 1.81 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.24 – 1.11
Δ −0.87
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.42 — +8.2% better than the market.

Getafe hosts Real Sociedad in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Sociedad's stronger attack faces a Getafe defense that has struggled recently, suggesting chances for the away side to press forward. However, Getafe's home momentum and slightly better recent form hint at a compact, cautious game with limited goals.

  • Sociedad's offensive edge against a leaky defense
  • Getafe's home resilience and recent points gain
  • Odds suggest a low-scoring, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.42 ✓ Cashed
AI 76% Implied 70% +0.42u
+42%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GET 4-5-1 · RSO 4-4-2
Subs used · GET
57' Juanmi ↑ · Liso ↓
57' Sancris ↑ · Mestanza ↓
64' Montes ↑ · Martin ↓
78' Bekhoucha ↑ · Iglesias ↓
78' Joselu ↑ · Munoz ↓
Subs used · RSO
58' Barrenetxea ↑ · Guedes ↓
58' Sucic ↑ · Mendez ↓
65' Gorrotxategi ↑ · Turrientes ↓
83' Munoz ↑ · Gomez ↓
83' Marin ↑ · Soler ↓

Statistics

GET 1 – 2 RSO
43%
Possession (%)
57%
0.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.11
6
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
5
3
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
4
4
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
17
68%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 1 – 2
Allan Nyom
Yellow Card
▮
22'
36'
⚽
B. Mendez
0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Juanmi ↓ · A. Liso ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
57'
Alex Sancris ↓ · A. Mestanza ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
57'
58'
⇄
A. Barrenetxea ↓ · G. Guedes ↑
Substitution 1
58'
⇄
L. Sucic ↓ · B. Mendez ↑
Substitution 2
63'
▮
Jon Aramburu
Yellow Card
J. Montes ↓ · M. Martin ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
64'
65'
⇄
J. Gorrotxategi ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑
Substitution 3
I. Bekhoucha ↓ · J. Iglesias ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
Joselu ↓ · Javier Munoz ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
78'
83'
⇄
A. Munoz ↓ · S. Gomez ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
P. Marin ↓ · C. Soler ↑
Substitution 5
Juanmi
Assist · M. Arambarri · 1–1
⚽
90'
90'
⚽
J. Aramburu
Assist · T. Kubo · 1–2
Ismael Bekhoucha
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Real Sociedad won 2–1 away at Getafe. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 80% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.11 to 0.24. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: B. Mendez (36'), Juanmi (90'), J. Aramburu (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.75 units (Brier 0.210).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.74 — 46% Cashed +1.74 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.20 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.81 — 54% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.65 — 35% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.84 — 46% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.13 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.42 — 76% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
BTTS No 1.55 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.00 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.52 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.19 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.11 — 89% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.35 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.18 — 83% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 0.5 5.50 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 3.50 — 27% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 8.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.75u −4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
GET – RSO @ 1.42
+8.2%
Edge
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