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Home › Spain › La Liga › Villarreal — Alaves

Predictions by Market: Villarreal vs Alaves

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 15:15
3:1
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de la Cerámica · Villarreal Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIL
69%
Best 1.46
Draw
21%
Best 4.40
Away Win · ALA
10%
Best 7.16
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.52
Fair odds
1.45
book 1.52 · +5.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 69% · EV +5.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 9.8%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.5%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.91
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 9.8%
Odds 5.54
Show model details
Implied probability 18.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 30.9%
Odds 2.79
Show model details
Implied probability 35.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
VIL – ALA @ 1.52
+5.0%
Edge
Forecast →