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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Villarreal — Alaves

Match Villarreal vs Alaves January 10, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 15:15
3:1
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.95 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.09 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.01 ✗
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.48 – 0.79
Δ +0.69
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Villarreal enter this La Liga clash with clear momentum, boasting a strong home edge and a potent attack that outmatches Alaves' defensive setup. Their recent form shows resilience, while Alaves struggle for consistency and offensive threat. The pace is likely moderate, favoring Villarreal's controlled build-up and set-piece opportunities.

  • Home advantage with a pressing edge
  • Superior attacking quality against a leaky defense
  • Better recent form and tactical cohesion

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · ALA 4-2-3-1
VIL · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · ALA 1 Júnior 15 Mouriño 8 Foyth 12 Veiga 24 Pedraza 17 Buchanan 14 Comesaña 10 Parejo 20 Moleiro ⚽ 22 Pérez 9 Mikautadze ⚽ 1 Sivera 17 Otto 14 Tenaglia 5 Pacheco 24 Parada 19 Ibáñez 8 Blanco 7 Vicente 18 Guridi 10 Aleñá 11 Martínez ⚽
Subs used · VIL
46' Moreno ↑ · Perez ↓
67' Partey ↑ · Parejo ↓
67' Pepe ↑ · Buchanan ↓
77' Cardona ↑ · Moleiro ↓
82' Oluwaseyi ↑ · Pedraza ↓
Subs used · ALA
59' Yusi ↑ · Otto ↓
59' Guevara ↑ · Ibanez ↓
80' Rebbach ↑ · Guridi ↓
80' Manas ↑ · Alena ↓

📊 Statistics

VIL 3 – 1 ALA
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.48
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.79
11
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
7
8
Shots Inside Box
8
1
Corner Kicks
6
10
Fouls
14
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
0
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 1
10'
▮
Carles Aleñá
Yellow Card
45'
▮
Jonny Otto
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
G. Moreno ↓ · A. Perez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
A. Moleiro
1–0
⚽
49'
G. Moreno
2–0
⚽
55'
59'
⇄
Yusi ↓ · Jonny Otto ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
A. Guevara ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑
Substitution 2
T. Partey ↓ · D. Parejo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
N. Pepe ↓ · T. Buchanan ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
67'
G. Mikautadze
Assist · A. Moleiro · 3–0
⚽
75'
S. Cardona ↓ · A. Moleiro ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
80'
⇄
A. Rebbach ↓ · J. Guridi ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
A. Manas ↓ · C. Alena ↑
Substitution 4
T. Oluwaseyi ↓ · A. Pedraza ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
85'
⚽
T. Martinez
3–1
Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.95 — 51% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.09 — 47% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.01 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.83 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.79 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.52 — 69% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.13 — 90% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.17 — 69% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.40 — 30% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 — 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.39 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 — 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Draw 4.55 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.91 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.54 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.39u −20% ROI