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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Oviedo

Predictions Alaves vs Oviedo January 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Maria Eugenia Gil, Spain
Home Win · ALA
59%
Best 1.90
Draw
27%
Best 3.05
Away Win · OVI
13%
Best 5.15
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.90
Fair odds
1.68
book 1.90 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 59% · EV +12.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.3%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 30.1%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 15.8%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 84.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 13.3%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.3%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.