Alaves vs Oviedo 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.90 — +12.8% better than the market.

Alaves enter this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent struggles. Their defensive solidity contrasts Oviedo's modest attack, suggesting a tactical battle where Alaves can control the pace and limit chances. Oviedo's resilient but cautious form hints at a compact block approach, likely keeping the game tight.

Home defensive strength vs away offense
Alaves' slight form advantage
Moderate pace expected from odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ALA 4-1-4-1 · OVI 4-2-3-1

ALA · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · OVI

11 Martínez

Subs used · ALA

46'

Boye ↑ ·

Suarez ↓

46'

Vicente ↑ ·

Calebe ↓

62'

Protesoni ↑ ·

Ibanez ↓

62'

Rebbach ↑ ·

Alena ↓

90'

Manas ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

Subs used · OVI

54'

Hassan ↑ ·

Brekalo ↓

54'

Carmo ↑ ·

Bailly ↓

74'

Fonseca ↑ ·

Reina ↓

85'

Fores ↑ ·

Colombatto ↓

85'

Lopez ↑ ·

Chaira ↓

Statistics

ALA 1 – 1 OVI

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.04

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

20 · 1 – 1

10'

▮

Federico Viñas

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

L. Boye ↓ · D. Suarez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

C. Vicente ↓ · Calebe ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

Denis Suárez

Yellow Card

▮

45+2'

54'

⇄

H. Hassan ↓ · J. Brekalo ↑

Substitution 1

54'

⇄

D. Carmo ↓ · E. Bailly ↑

Substitution 2

56'

⚽

F. Vinas

Assist · I. Chaira · 0–1

C. Protesoni ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

62'

A. Rebbach ↓ · C. Alena ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

62'

L. Boye

1–1

⚽

69'

74'

⇄

N. Fonseca ↓ · A. Reina ↑

Substitution 3

75'

▮

Federico Viñas

Yellow Card

75'

▮

Federico Viñas

Red Card

77'

▮

Abdel Rahim

Yellow Card

Carlos Benavídez

Yellow Card

▮

79'

85'

⇄

A. Fores ↓ · S. Colombatto ↑

Substitution 4

85'

⇄

J. Lopez ↓ · I. Chaira ↑

Substitution 5

Carlos Benavídez

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Carlos Benavídez

Red Card

▮

88'

A. Manas ↓ · T. Martinez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Alaves and Oviedo drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.04 to 1.50. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Vinas (56'), L. Boye (69'). Federico Viñas was sent off in the 75' minute. Carlos Benavídez was sent off in the 88' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.58 units (Brier 0.184).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.90	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.45	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.65	—	56%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.51	—	35%	Cashed	+1.51	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.05	—	41%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
BTTS No	1.59	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.46	—	70%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.88	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.30	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	6.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.15	—	87%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.14	—	84%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Draw	3.28	—	27%	Cashed	+2.28	Cashed
Over 3.5	6.10	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.88	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.58u	−15% ROI

Alaves vs Oviedo 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled