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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Alaves — Oviedo

Match Alaves vs Oviedo January 4, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Maria Eugenia Gil, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 59% · book 1.90
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 44% · book 2.45
Hit
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 56% · book 1.65
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.50 – 2.04
Δ −0.54
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Alaves enter this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent struggles. Their defensive solidity contrasts Oviedo's modest attack, suggesting a tactical battle where Alaves can control the pace and limit chances. Oviedo's resilient but cautious form hints at a compact block approach, likely keeping the game tight.

  • Home defensive strength vs away offense
  • Alaves' slight form advantage
  • Moderate pace expected from odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ALA 4-1-4-1 · OVI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ALA
46' Boye ↑ · Suarez
46' Vicente ↑ · Calebe
62' Protesoni ↑ · Ibanez
62' Rebbach ↑ · Alena
90' Manas ↑ · Martinez
Subs used · OVI
54' Hassan ↑ · Brekalo
54' Carmo ↑ · Bailly
74' Fonseca ↑ · Reina
85' Fores ↑ · Colombatto
85' Lopez ↑ · Chaira

📊 Statistics

ALA 11 OVI
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.04
18
Total Shots
18
7
Shots on Target
6
8
Shots off Target
7
8
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
7
11
Fouls
20
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
3
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

20 · 1 – 1
10'
Federico Viñas
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
L. Boye ↓ · D. Suarez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
C. Vicente ↓ · Calebe ↑
Substitution 2
46'
Denis Suárez
Yellow Card
45+2'
54'
H. Hassan ↓ · J. Brekalo ↑
Substitution 1
54'
D. Carmo ↓ · E. Bailly ↑
Substitution 2
56'
F. Vinas
Assist · I. Chaira · 0–1
C. Protesoni ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑
Substitution 3
62'
A. Rebbach ↓ · C. Alena ↑
Substitution 4
62'
L. Boye
1–1
69'
74'
N. Fonseca ↓ · A. Reina ↑
Substitution 3
75'
Federico Viñas
Yellow Card
75'
Federico Viñas
Red Card
77'
Abdel Rahim
Yellow Card
Carlos Benavídez
Yellow Card
79'
85'
A. Fores ↓ · S. Colombatto ↑
Substitution 4
85'
J. Lopez ↓ · I. Chaira ↑
Substitution 5
Carlos Benavídez
Yellow Card
88'
Carlos Benavídez
Red Card
88'
A. Manas ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 5
90'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.90 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.45 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.65 56% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.51 35% Cashed +1.51 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.05 41% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.18 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
BTTS No 1.59 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.46 70% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.88 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.30 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 6.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.15 87% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.14 84% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Draw 3.28 27% Cashed +2.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 6.10 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.88 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.58u −15% ROI