Match Mallorca vs Elche December 13, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.89 — +10.4% better than the market.

Mallorca hosts Elche in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Elche's stronger defense and offense suggest they can control the game, but Mallorca's home momentum and compact defensive block could keep it tight. Recent form is similar, hinting at a balanced contest despite Elche's higher overall strength.

Elche's pressing edge and offensive threat
Mallorca's home resilience and defensive discipline
Likely moderate pace with a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.89 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MAL 4-2-3-1 · ELC 4-1-4-1

MAL · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · ELC

7 Muriqi ⚽

Subs used · MAL

71'

Sanchez ↑ ·

Morlanes ↓

71'

Asano ↑ ·

Joseph ↓

86'

Morey Bauza ↑ ·

Virgili ↓

86'

Torre ↑ ·

Darder ↓

90'

Prats ↑ ·

Muriqi ↓

Subs used · ELC

66'

Donald ↑ ·

Santiago ↓

66'

Rodriguez ↑ ·

Nunez ↓

78'

Mendoza ↑ ·

Neto ↓

87'

Silva ↑ ·

Mir ↓

87'

Josan ↑ ·

Affengruber ↓

📊 Statistics

MAL 3 – 1 ELC

42%

Possession (%)

58%

2.40

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.30

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 1

M. Morlanes

Assist · J. Virgili · 1–0

⚽

Manu Morlanes

Yellow Card

▮

20'

21'

⚽

P. Maffeo

Own goal · 1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

66'

⇄

J. Donald ↓ · Y. Santiago ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⇄

A. Rodriguez ↓ · A. Nunez ↑

Substitution 2

A. Sanchez ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

T. Asano ↓ · M. Joseph ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

78'

⇄

R. Mendoza ↓ · M. Neto ↑

Substitution 3

Omar Mascarell

Yellow Card

▮

82'

O. Mascarell

2–1

⚽

82'

M. Morey Bauza ↓ · J. Virgili ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

86'

P. Torre ↓ · S. Darder ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

87'

⇄

Andre Silva ↓ · R. Mir ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

Josan ↓ · D. Affengruber ↑

Substitution 5

V. Muriqi

Assist · O. Mascarell · 3–1

⚽

89'

A. Prats ↓ · V. Muriqi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

Takuma Asano

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Mallorca beat Elche 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.40 to 0.30. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Morlanes (5'), P. Maffeo (21'), O. Mascarell (82'), V. Muriqi (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.27 units (Brier 0.308).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.89	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.67	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.24	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	42%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.45	—	34%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Home Win	2.55	—	32%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.76	—	32%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.59	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.95	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.24	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	60%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Draw	3.17	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	—	61%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.11	—	86%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.50	—	17%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.27u	+2% ROI