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Home › Spain › La Liga › Levante — Villarreal

Levante vs Villarreal 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Levante
Levante
Home · last 5 L W W W L
Kick-off
Wed 18 Feb · 19:00
0:1
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia · Valencia Referee Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 63% · book 1.75 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.43 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.37 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.24 – 2.40
Δ −1.16
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.75 — +10.0% better than the market.

Villarreal enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Levante’s defensive struggles and poor home momentum contrast with Villarreal’s sharper attack and more stable shape. Expect Villarreal to press high and exploit gaps, while Levante may rely on a compact block and counter-attacks.

  • Villarreal’s offensive edge against Levante’s leaky defense
  • Home side’s recent form woes limit their threat
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 57% +0.75u
+75%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEV 4-3-3 · VIL 4-4-2
LEV · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · VIL 13 Ryan 22 Toljan 4 Fuente 2 Moreno 6 Pampín 8 Olasagasti 14 Raghouber 18 Losada 17 García 19 Espí 27 Cortés 1 Júnior 15 Mouriño 6 Navarro 4 Marín 23 Cardona 19 Pépé 14 Comesaña 18 Gueye 20 Moleiro 22 Pérez 9 Mikautadze ⚽
Subs used · LEV
65' Matturro ↑ · Garcia ↓
65' Vencedor ↑ · Raghouber ↓
65' Etta Eyong ↑ · Moreno ↓
74' Alvarez ↑ · Losada ↓
89' Tunde ↑ · Cortes ↓
Subs used · VIL
71' Pedraza ↑ · Perez ↓
79' Veiga ↑ · Marin ↓
79' Partey ↑ · Gueye ↓
88' Freeman ↑ · Moleiro ↓
89' Oluwaseyi ↑ · Mikautadze ↓

Statistics

LEV 0 – 1 VIL
59%
Possession (%)
41%
1.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.40
16
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
20
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
3
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

18 · 0 – 1
Carlos Espí
Yellow Card
▮
31'
Iker Losada
Yellow Card
▮
43'
Half-time · 0 – 0
57'
⚽
G. Mikautadze
Assist · N. Pepe · 0–1
60'
▮
Ayoze Pérez
Yellow Card
A. Matturro ↓ · V. Garcia ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
U. Vencedor ↓ · U. Raghouber ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
K. Etta Eyong ↓ · M. Moreno ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
71'
⇄
A. Pedraza ↓ · A. Perez ↑
Substitution 1
72'
▮
Pape Gueye
Yellow Card
C. Alvarez ↓ · I. Losada ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
74'
79'
⇄
R. Veiga ↓ · R. Marin ↑
Substitution 2
79'
⇄
T. Partey ↓ · P. Gueye ↑
Substitution 3
Jeremy Toljan
Yellow Card
▮
85'
88'
⇄
A. Freeman ↓ · A. Moleiro ↑
Substitution 4
K. Tunde ↓ · P. Cortes ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
89'
89'
⇄
T. Oluwaseyi ↓ · G. Mikautadze ↑
Substitution 5
90'
▮
Santi Comesaña
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
Nicolas Pépé
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Villarreal won 1–0 away at Levante. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.40 to 1.24. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Mikautadze (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.29 units (Brier 0.201).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.75 — 63% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.43 — 42% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
BTTS No 2.37 — 42% Cashed +1.37 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.68 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.66 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.60 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.27 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.23 — 84% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 — 64% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.32 — 63% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 — 20% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.49 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.67 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.56 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.29u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
LEV – VIL @ 1.75
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →