P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Spain › La Liga › Celta Vigo — Athletic Club

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 15:15
2:0
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 44% · book 2.74 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.99 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.76 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.40 – 1.62
Δ −0.22
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.48 — +6.5% better than the market.

Celta Vigo hosts Athletic Club in a La Liga clash where home momentum meets a resilient away side. Celta's defensive solidity contrasts with Athletic's struggles at the back, giving the hosts a pressing edge. However, Athletic's slightly better recent form and balanced attack suggest a tight contest.

  • Celta's compact defense vs Athletic's moderate offense
  • Athletic's recent consistency vs Celta's fluctuating form
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.48 ✓ Cashed
AI 72% Implied 68% +0.48u
+48%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · BIL 4-2-3-1
CEL · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · BIL 13 Radu 12 Fernández 2 Starfelt 20 Alonso 17 Rueda 22 Sotelo 16 Román 3 Mingueza 19 Swedberg ⚽ 10 Aspas 9 Jutglà 1 Simón 12 Areso 3 Vivian 4 Paredes 17 Berchiche 16 Galarreta 18 Jauregizar 7 Berenguer 8 Sancet 10 Williams 11 Guruzeta
Subs used · CEL
46' El Abdellaoui ↑ · Jutgla ↓
61' Moriba ↑ · Sotelo ↓
61' Carreira ↑ · Rueda ↓
76' Iglesias ↑ · Swedberg ↓
80' Alvarez ↑ · Aspas ↓
Subs used · BIL
46' Williams ↑ · Berenguer ↓
46' Sanchez ↑ · Sancet ↓
51' Boiro ↑ · Berchiche ↓
76' Serrano ↑ · Williams ↓
80' Izeta ↑ · Guruzeta ↓

Statistics

CEL 2 – 0 BIL
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.62
5
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
6
4
Shots Inside Box
8
1
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
13
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

17 · 2 – 0
Ferran Jutglà
Yellow Card
▮
44'
Half-time · 0 – 0
J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
I. Williams ↓ · A. Berenguer ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
S. Sanchez ↓ · O. Sancet ↑
Substitution 2
W. Swedberg
Assist · J. Rueda · 1–0
⚽
48'
51'
⇄
A. Boiro ↓ · Y. Berchiche ↑
Substitution 3
J. El Abdellaoui
2–0
⚽
55'
I. Moriba ↓ · H. Sotelo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
S. Carreira ↓ · J. Rueda ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
61'
66'
▮
Iñaki Williams
Yellow Card
B. Iglesias ↓ · W. Swedberg ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
76'
⇄
N. Serrano ↓ · N. Williams ↑
Substitution 4
Iago Aspas
Yellow Card
▮
77'
H. Alvarez ↓ · I. Aspas ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
80'
⇄
Izeta ↓ · G. Guruzeta ↑
Substitution 5
87'
▮
Daniel Vivian
Yellow Card
Borja Iglesias
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Celta Vigo beat Athletic Club 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 5, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: W. Swedberg (48'), J. El Abdellaoui (55').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.34 units (Brier 0.138).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.74 — 44% Cashed +1.74 Cashed
BTTS No 1.99 — 52% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.76 — 59% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.25 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.93 — 44% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.01 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.48 — 72% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.25 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.40 — 68% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.52 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.88 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.27 — 79% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.30 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.30 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.34u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
CEL – BIL @ 1.48
+6.5%
Edge
Forecast →