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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Alaves — Real Sociedad

Match Alaves vs Real Sociedad December 6, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 15:15
1:0
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.65
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.78
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 36% · book 2.69
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.43 – 1.01
Δ +0.42
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Sociedad enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, despite playing away. Their attacking prowess faces a resilient but leaky Alaves defense, suggesting Sociedad can exploit gaps. Alaves' home momentum is limited by defensive struggles and inconsistent form, while Sociedad's pressing and compact block hint at control in midfield.

  • Sociedad's offensive edge against Alaves' defense
  • Alaves' shaky home defensive record
  • Recent form favors Sociedad's confidence

Expect a tactical battle with Sociedad pressing for control and Alaves relying on counterattacks. The odds suggest a moderate scoring pace, with a slight lean towards a tight game but Sociedad likely to edge the result.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ALA 4-1-4-1 · RSO 4-1-4-1
Subs used · ALA
51' Vicente ↑ · Calebe
76' Alena ↑ · Rebbach
76' Protesoni ↑ · Guevara
90+3' Yusi ↑ · Suarez
Subs used · RSO
56' Barrenetxea ↑ · Sadiq
56' Caleta-Car ↑ · Elustondo
78' Karrikaburu ↑ · Kubo
78' Zakharyan ↑ · Gorrotxategi
87' Goti Lopez ↑ · Soler

📊 Statistics

ALA 10 RSO
38%
Possession (%)
62%
1.43
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.01
14
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
1
7
Shots off Target
7
8
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
0
20
Fouls
16
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 1 – 0
29'
Jon Gorrotxategi
Yellow Card
39'
Jon Aramburu
Yellow Card
L. Boye (P)
Penalty · 1–0
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
C. Vicente ↓ · Calebe ↑
Substitution 1
51'
56'
A. Barrenetxea ↓ · U. Sadiq ↑
Substitution 1
56'
D. Caleta-Car ↓ · A. Elustondo ↑
Substitution 2
Ander Guevara
Yellow Card
62'
Nahuel Tenaglia
Yellow Card
69'
C. Alena ↓ · A. Rebbach ↑
Substitution 2
76'
C. Protesoni ↓ · A. Guevara ↑
Substitution 3
76'
78'
J. Karrikaburu ↓ · T. Kubo ↑
Substitution 3
78'
A. Zakharyan ↓ · J. Gorrotxategi ↑
Substitution 4
87'
M. Goti Lopez ↓ · C. Soler ↑
Substitution 5
Yusi ↓ · D. Suarez ↑
Substitution 4
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.65 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.78 55% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.69 36% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.10 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.97 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.97 27% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.48 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.88 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.58 62% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.52 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.10 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.48 56% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Home Win 2.90 27% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 88% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.19 82% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.40 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.29u −13% ROI