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Home › Spain › La Liga › Rayo Vallecano — Valencia

Predictions by Market: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Mon 01 Dec · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid Referee Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RAY
48%
Best 2.10
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · VAL
25%
Best 3.80
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.50
Fair odds
3.97
book 4.50 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +13.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (48%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 48%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 25.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 3.31
Show model details
Implied probability 30.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.3%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.8%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RAY – VAL @ 4.50
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →