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Home › Spain › La Liga › Levante — Athletic Club

Levante vs Athletic Club 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Levante
Levante
Home · last 5 L W W W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 17:30
0:2
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia · Valencia Referee Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 62% · book 1.81 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.81 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.97 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.29 – 2.95
Δ −1.66
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.81 — +11.6% better than the market.

Levante hosts Athletic Club in a La Liga clash where home momentum is fragile but the quality gap slightly favors Levante. Athletic’s solid defensive shape contrasts with Levante’s sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. The home side’s recent form shows signs of revival, while Athletic’s inconsistency may keep the game tight.

  • Levante’s home edge in defense could frustrate Athletic’s offense
  • Athletic’s compact block challenges Levante’s pressing
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.81 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 55% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEV 4-4-2 · BIL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LEV
46' Brugue ↑ · Arriaga ↓
46' Romero ↑ · Koyalipou ↓
46' Cabello ↑ · Elgezabal ↓
58' Garcia ↑ · Matturro ↓
73' Morales ↑ · Toljan ↓
Subs used · BIL
62' Gomez ↑ · Navarro ↓
81' Vesga ↑ · Jauregizar ↓
81' Sanchez ↑ · Williams ↓
88' Serrano ↑ · Berenguer ↓
88' Izeta ↑ · Guruzeta ↓

Statistics

LEV 0 – 2 BIL
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.29
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.95
11
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
8
8
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
19
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 0 – 2
3'
⚽
R. Navarro
Assist · A. Berenguer · 0–1
Kervin Arriaga
Yellow Card
▮
32'
Oriol Rey
Yellow Card
▮
37'
40'
▮
Yuri Berchiche
Yellow Card
44'
⚽
N. Williams
Assist · A. Berenguer · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
R. Brugue ↓ · K. Arriaga ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
I. Romero ↓ · G. Koyalipou ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
J. Cabello ↓ · U. Elgezabal ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
46'
50'
▮
Daniel Vivian
Yellow Card
V. Garcia ↓ · A. Matturro ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
58'
62'
⇄
U. Gomez ↓ · R. Navarro ↑
Substitution 1
J. Morales ↓ · J. Toljan ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
73'
81'
⇄
M. Vesga ↓ · M. Jauregizar ↑
Substitution 2
81'
⇄
S. Sanchez ↓ · N. Williams ↑
Substitution 3
Roger Brugué
Yellow Card
▮
86'
88'
⇄
N. Serrano ↓ · A. Berenguer ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
Izeta ↓ · G. Guruzeta ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Athletic Club won 2–0 away at Levante. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.95 to 1.29. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Navarro (3'), N. Williams (44').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.36 units (Brier 0.158).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.81 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.81 — 58% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS No 1.97 — 53% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.17 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.90 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.56 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.20 — 38% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Home Win 3.86 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.34 — 65% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.29 — 78% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 — 68% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 3.48 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.57 — 38% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.95 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.36u −26% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
LEV – BIL @ 1.81
+11.6%
Edge
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