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Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Oviedo

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo November 29, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Home Win · ATM
80%
Best 1.25
Draw
16%
Best 6.05
Away Win · OVI
4%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.50
Fair odds
6.11
book 6.50 · +6.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +6.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (80%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.4%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 4.1%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 14.40
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 4.1%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 20.5%
Odds 4.54
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
ATM – OVI @ 6.50
+6.5%
Edge
Forecast →