P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Spain › La Liga › Atletico Madrid — Oviedo

Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 39% · book 2.62 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.25 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.77 ✗
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.00 – 0.85
Δ +1.15
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.50 — +6.5% better than the market.

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over Oviedo. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting a tactical mismatch favoring the hosts. The home side’s compact block and pressing intensity should limit Oviedo’s chances, while the visitors’ inconsistent form and defensive frailties hint at a tough outing.

  • Atletico’s home edge and offensive firepower
  • Oviedo’s shaky defense and poor away form
  • Likely controlled tempo with Atletico dictating play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 6.50 ✗ Lost
AI 16% Implied 15% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ATM 5-3-2 · OVI 4-1-3-2
ATM · 5-3-2 4-1-3-2 · OVI 13 Oblak 16 Molina 18 Pubill 15 Lenglet 17 Hancko 23 González 4 Gallagher 6 Koke 10 Baena 7 Griezmann 9 Sørloth ⚽ 13 Escandell 22 Vidal 4 Costas 16 Carmo 3 Rahim 20 Dendoncker 11 Colombatto 8 Cazorla 10 Hassan 9 Viñas 23 Rondón
Subs used · ATM
46' Simeone ↑ · Baena ↓
63' Barrios ↑ · Griezmann ↓
63' Alvarez ↑ · Sorloth ↓
75' Raspadori ↑ · Koke ↓
87' M. Gimenez ↑ · Gonzalez ↓
Subs used · OVI
61' Calvo ↑ · Carmo ↓
75' Ejaria ↑ · Cazorla ↓
75' Fores ↑ · Rondon ↓
82' Reina ↑ · Colombatto ↓
82' Ilic ↑ · Hassan ↓

Statistics

ATM 2 – 0 OVI
52%
Possession (%)
48%
2.00
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.85
14
Total Shots
12
8
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
8
10
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
5
Fouls
8
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

13 · 2 – 0
A. Sorloth
Assist · D. Hancko · 1–0
⚽
16'
A. Sorloth
2–0
⚽
26'
Half-time · 2 – 0
G. Simeone ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
54'
▮
David Carmo
Yellow Card
61'
⇄
D. Calvo ↓ · D. Carmo ↑
Substitution 1
P. Barrios ↓ · A. Griezmann ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
J. Alvarez ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
63'
G. Raspadori ↓ · Koke ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
75'
⇄
O. Ejaria ↓ · S. Cazorla ↑
Substitution 2
75'
⇄
A. Fores ↓ · S. Rondon ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⇄
A. Reina ↓ · S. Colombatto ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
L. Ilic ↓ · H. Hassan ↑
Substitution 5
J. M. Gimenez ↓ · N. Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Atletico Madrid beat Oviedo 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.00 to 0.85. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: A. Sorloth (16'), A. Sorloth (26').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.98 units (Brier 0.084).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.62 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.25 — 44% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.77 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.70 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.50 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.26 — 80% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 — 65% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
BTTS No 1.57 — 61% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.04 — 80% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 — 79% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.75 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.54 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.40 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 18.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 14.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.98u −35% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
ATM – OVI @ 6.50
+6.5%
Edge
Forecast →