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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Oviedo

Match Atletico Madrid vs Oviedo November 29, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 39% · book 2.62
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.25
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.77
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.00 – 0.85
Δ +1.15
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over Oviedo. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting a tactical mismatch favoring the hosts. The home side’s compact block and pressing intensity should limit Oviedo’s chances, while the visitors’ inconsistent form and defensive frailties hint at a tough outing.

  • Atletico’s home edge and offensive firepower
  • Oviedo’s shaky defense and poor away form
  • Likely controlled tempo with Atletico dictating play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 5-3-2 · OVI 4-1-3-2
Subs used · ATM
46' Simeone ↑ · Baena
63' Barrios ↑ · Griezmann
63' Alvarez ↑ · Sorloth
75' Raspadori ↑ · Koke
87' M. Gimenez ↑ · Gonzalez
Subs used · OVI
61' Calvo ↑ · Carmo
75' Ejaria ↑ · Cazorla
75' Fores ↑ · Rondon
82' Reina ↑ · Colombatto
82' Ilic ↑ · Hassan

📊 Statistics

ATM 20 OVI
52%
Possession (%)
48%
2.00
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.85
14
Total Shots
12
8
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
8
10
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
5
Fouls
8
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

13 · 2 – 0
A. Sorloth
Assist · D. Hancko · 1–0
16'
A. Sorloth
2–0
26'
Half-time · 2 – 0
G. Simeone ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 1
46'
54'
David Carmo
Yellow Card
61'
D. Calvo ↓ · D. Carmo ↑
Substitution 1
P. Barrios ↓ · A. Griezmann ↑
Substitution 2
63'
J. Alvarez ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑
Substitution 3
63'
G. Raspadori ↓ · Koke ↑
Substitution 4
75'
75'
O. Ejaria ↓ · S. Cazorla ↑
Substitution 2
75'
A. Fores ↓ · S. Rondon ↑
Substitution 3
82'
A. Reina ↓ · S. Colombatto ↑
Substitution 4
82'
L. Ilic ↓ · H. Hassan ↑
Substitution 5
J. M. Gimenez ↓ · N. Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 5
87'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.62 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.25 44% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.77 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.70 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.26 80% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.04 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 65% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
BTTS No 1.57 61% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.04 80% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 79% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.75 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.54 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.40 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 18.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 14.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.98u −35% ROI