Villarreal vs Mallorca 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.48 — +4.3% better than the market.

Villarreal holds a clear quality edge over Mallorca, boosted by a solid home momentum and a pressing edge in attack. Their offensive strength outmatches Mallorca’s defensive setup, suggesting they can control the game tempo at Estadio de la Ceramica. Despite Mallorca’s resilience shown in recent form, Villarreal’s compact block and set-piece threat could prove decisive.

Home advantage with strong offensive numbers
Better defensive solidity against Mallorca’s attack
Likely moderate pace with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.48 ✓ Cashed

AI 70% Implied 68% +0.48u

+48%

ROI on stake

Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · MAL 4-2-3-1

VIL · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · MAL

22 Pérez

Subs used · VIL

63'

Mikautadze ↑ ·

Moreno ↓

63'

Gueye ↑ ·

Partey ↓

63'

Oluwaseyi ↑ ·

Perez ↓

74'

Solomon ↑ ·

Moleiro ↓

80'

Buchanan ↑ ·

Marin ↓

Subs used · MAL

69'

Darder ↑ ·

Torre ↓

74'

Muriqi ↑ ·

Virgili ↓

86'

Morlanes ↑ ·

Joseph ↓

86'

Llabres ↑ ·

Mascarell ↓

86'

Asano ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

Statistics

VIL 2 – 1 MAL

58%

Possession (%)

42%

2.59

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 2 – 1

G. Moreno

Assist · A. Perez · 1–0

⚽

Samu Costa

Assist · P. Torre · 1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

G. Mikautadze ↓ · G. Moreno ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

P. Gueye ↓ · T. Partey ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

T. Oluwaseyi ↓ · A. Perez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

63'

67'

▮

Lucas Bergström

Yellow Card

69'

⇄

S. Darder ↓ · P. Torre ↑

Substitution 1

M. Solomon ↓ · A. Moleiro ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

⇄

V. Muriqi ↓ · J. Virgili ↑

Substitution 2

75'

▮

Johan Mojica

Yellow Card

T. Buchanan ↓ · R. Marin ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

T. Oluwaseyi

2–1

⚽

83'

86'

⇄

M. Morlanes ↓ · M. Joseph ↑

Substitution 3

86'

⇄

J. Llabres ↓ · O. Mascarell ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

T. Asano ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 5

Luiz Júnior

Yellow Card

▮

89'

Tajon Buchanan

Yellow Card

▮

90+7'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Villarreal beat Mallorca 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.59 to 0.93. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Moreno (6'), Samu Costa (8'), T. Oluwaseyi (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.82 units (Brier 0.089).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.74	—	58%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	51%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.70	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.29	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.48	—	70%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	90%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.99	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.17	—	70%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.98	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	80%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.70	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.75	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.82u	−34% ROI

Villarreal vs Mallorca 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled