Celta Vigo vs Barcelona 2:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.66 — +7.9% better than the market.

Barcelona enters this La Liga clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack and solid defensive numbers compared to Celta Vigo. Despite Celta's recent home momentum, Barcelona's pressing and tactical discipline should challenge their compact block effectively. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with both sides capable of creating chances, but Barcelona's superior firepower and form suggest they will control the rhythm.

Barcelona's offensive edge against Celta's defense
Celta's home resilience but limited scoring threat
Moderate tempo favors tactical control by visitors

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.66 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 60% +0.66u

+66%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · BAR 4-3-3

CEL · 3-4-3 4-3-3 · BAR

18 Durán

Subs used · CEL

46'

Rodriguez ↑ ·

Mingueza ↓

58'

Zaragoza ↑ ·

Jutgla ↓

70'

Aspas ↑ ·

Iglesias ↓

78'

Roman ↑ ·

Fernandez ↓

78'

El Abdellaoui ↑ ·

Sotelo ↓

Subs used · BAR

86'

Christensen ↑ ·

Olmo ↓

86'

Martin ↑ ·

Balde ↓

88'

Torres ↑ ·

Rashford ↓

90+7'

Bernal ↑ ·

Yamal ↓

Statistics

CEL 2 – 4 BAR

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

22 · 2 – 4

10'

⚽

R. Lewandowski (P)

Penalty · 0–1

S. Carreira

Assist · B. Iglesias · 1–1

⚽

11'

37'

⚽

R. Lewandowski

Assist · M. Rashford · 1–2

42'

▮

Pau Cubarsí

Yellow Card

B. Iglesias

Assist · F. Jutgla · 2–2

⚽

43'

45'

⚽

Lamine Yamal

2–3

Half-time · 2 – 3

J. Rodriguez ↓ · O. Mingueza ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

B. Zaragoza ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

I. Aspas ↓ · B. Iglesias ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

73'

⚽

R. Lewandowski

Assist · M. Rashford · 2–4

M. Roman ↓ · M. Fernandez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · H. Sotelo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

78'

79'

▮

Frenkie de Jong

Yellow Card

86'

⇄

A. Christensen ↓ · D. Olmo ↑

Substitution 1

86'

⇄

G. Martin ↓ · A. Balde ↑

Substitution 2

87'

▮

Marcus Rashford

Yellow Card

88'

▮

Robert Lewandowski

Yellow Card

88'

⇄

F. Torres ↓ · M. Rashford ↑

Substitution 3

Miguel Román

Yellow Card

▮

89'

90+4'

▮

Frenkie de Jong

Yellow Card

90+4'

▮

Frenkie de Jong

Red Card

90+7'

⇄

M. Bernal ↓ · Lamine Yamal ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 2 – 4

Match recap

Barcelona won 4–2 away at Celta Vigo. At half-time it was 2–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.18 to 0.58. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 5, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Lewandowski (10'), S. Carreira (11'), R. Lewandowski (37'), B. Iglesias (43'), Lamine Yamal (45'), R. Lewandowski (73'). Frenkie de Jong was sent off in the 90+4' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.47 units (Brier 0.094).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.66	—	65%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.20	—	45%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.79	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.66	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.80	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.40	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.21	—	86%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.47	—	67%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.52	—	63%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.29	—	65%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.15	—	85%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Draw	4.57	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.10	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.25	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.82	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.47u	−32% ROI

Celta Vigo vs Barcelona 2:4: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled