P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Atletico Madrid — Sevilla

Predictions by Market: Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 15:15
3:0
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATM
75%
Best 1.36
Draw
18%
Best 5.30
Away Win · SEV
8%
Best 8.73
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.89
Fair odds
5.68
book 5.89 · +3.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 18% · EV +3.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (75%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.6%
Odds 5.89
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.8%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.5%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.3%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.8%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.54
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
ATM – SEV @ 5.89
+3.7%
Edge
Forecast →