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Home › Spain › La Liga › Atletico Madrid — Osasuna

Predictions by Market: Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Osasuna
Osasuna
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATM
74%
Best 1.37
Draw
19%
Best 5.11
Away Win · OSA
7%
Best 8.95
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.13
book 2.28 · +7.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 47% · EV +7.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (53%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.1%
Odds 10.40
Show model details
Implied probability 9.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.1%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.34
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ATM – OSA @ 2.28
+7.3%
Edge
Forecast →