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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Osasuna

Match Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna October 18, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Osasuna
Osasuna
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.94
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.28
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 74% · book 1.39
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
2.13 – 0.92
Δ +1.21
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

Atletico Madrid is expected to leverage their home advantage against Osasuna, with a strong probability of securing a win. The match is likely to see goals, with both teams having a decent chance to score. The odds suggest a competitive game, but Atletico's overall strength and form trend make them favorites.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 5-3-2 · OSA 3-4-3
Subs used · ATM
43' Simeone ↑ · Gonzalez
54' Gallagher ↑ · Koke
55' Sorloth ↑ · Griezmann
63' Almada ↑ · Baena
82' Raspadori ↑ · Alvarez
Subs used · OSA
41' Benito ↑ · Rosier
63' Gomez ↑ · Garcia
74' Garcia ↑ · Herrando
74' Barja ↑ · Torro
85' Munoz ↑ · Moncayola
85' Becker ↑ · Munoz

📊 Statistics

ATM 10 OSA
59%
Possession (%)
41%
2.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.92
18
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
2
9
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
2
6
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
11
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Match events

16 · 1 – 0
Koke
Yellow Card
30'
41'
I. Benito ↓ · V. Rosier ↑
Substitution 1
G. Simeone ↓ · N. Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 1
43'
Half-time · 0 – 0
C. Gallagher ↓ · Koke ↑
Substitution 2
54'
A. Sorloth ↓ · A. Griezmann ↑
Substitution 3
55'
T. Almada ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 4
63'
63'
M. Gomez ↓ · R. Garcia ↑
Substitution 2
66'
Alejandro Catena
Yellow Card
T. Almada
Assist · G. Simeone · 1–0
69'
74'
R. Garcia ↓ · J. Herrando ↑
Substitution 3
74'
K. Barja ↓ · L. Torro ↑
Substitution 4
81'
Raúl García de Haro
Yellow Card
G. Raspadori ↓ · J. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 5
82'
85'
I. Munoz ↓ · J. Moncayola ↑
Substitution 5
85'
S. Becker ↓ · V. Munoz ↑
Substitution 6
90'
Flavien Boyomo
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.94 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.28 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.39 74% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.09 93% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.13 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 10.40 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.68 53% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.80 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.93 22% Cashed +2.93 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 47% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.39 68% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.34 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.12 74% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
AH Away 0 6.40 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.34u −20% ROI