Villarreal vs Real Betis 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.99 — +14.9% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Villarreal hosts Real Betis in what promises to be an engaging encounter. With Villarreal's attacking profile and home advantage, they are favored with a 57.72% estimated probability to secure a win, against odds of 1.99. Meanwhile, the likelihood of both teams scoring is high, with a 61.25% estimated probability for BTTS Yes at odds of 1.67. Expect a dynamic match with goals, as the Over 2.5 Goals market shows a 60.71% estimated probability, offering value at odds of 1.76.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.99 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · BET 4-2-3-1

VIL · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · BET

21 Oluwaseyi

Subs used · VIL

63'

Pepe ↑ ·

Moreno ↓

63'

Perez ↑ ·

Oluwaseyi ↓

73'

Gueye ↑ ·

Parejo ↓

73'

Cardona ↑ ·

Moleiro ↓

81'

Solomon ↑ ·

Pedraza ↓

Subs used · BET

57'

Lo Celso ↑ ·

Roca ↓

69'

Ruibal ↑ ·

Ezzalzouli ↓

90'

Garcia ↑ ·

Bellerin ↓

Statistics

VIL 2 – 2 BET

40%

Possession (%)

60%

0.49

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.19

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 2 – 2

T. Buchanan

Assist · A. Moleiro · 1–0

⚽

44'

Half-time · 1 – 0

57'

⇄

G. Lo Celso ↓ · M. Roca ↑

Substitution 1

N. Pepe ↓ · G. Moreno ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

A. Perez ↓ · T. Oluwaseyi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

A. Moleiro

Assist · S. Comesana · 2–0

⚽

64'

66'

⚽

Antony

Assist · P. Fornals · 2–1

69'

⇄

A. Ruibal ↓ · A. Ezzalzouli ↑

Substitution 2

P. Gueye ↓ · D. Parejo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

S. Cardona ↓ · A. Moleiro ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

M. Solomon ↓ · A. Pedraza ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

Tajon Buchanan

Yellow Card

▮

90'

▮

Sofyan Amrabat

Yellow Card

90'

⇄

P. Garcia ↓ · H. Bellerin ↑

Substitution 3

90'

⚽

Antony

Assist · P. Fornals · 2–2

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Villarreal and Real Betis drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.19 to 0.49. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 3 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.49 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: T. Buchanan (44'), A. Moleiro (64'), Antony (66'), Antony (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.49 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.70	—	40%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.76	—	61%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Home Win	1.99	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.29	—	82%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	61%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	83%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Cashed	+2.90	Cashed
Away Win	4.10	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.31	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	16.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.28	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.54	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.93	—	42%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.44	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.94	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.49u	−9% ROI

Villarreal vs Real Betis 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Preview & Verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled