Sevilla vs Mallorca 1:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.93 — +14.2% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Sevilla hosts Mallorca in a clash where the home side is favored. With an estimated 59.15% chance of winning, Sevilla's odds of 1.93 offer a solid opportunity. The Double Chance 1X market also presents value with an 84.45% probability. Expect a tight game, with Under 2.5 Goals being a likely outcome given its 59.16% probability. Both teams have shown defensive resilience, suggesting a low-scoring affair.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.93 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

SEV 4-2-3-1 · MAL 4-2-3-1

SEV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MAL

7 Romero

Subs used · SEV

Martinez ↑ ·

Azpilicueta ↓

71'

Adams ↑ ·

Romero ↓

71'

Sanchez ↑ ·

Sow ↓

71'

Januzaj ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

88'

Ejuke ↑ ·

Vargas ↓

Subs used · MAL

62'

Joseph ↑ ·

Llabres ↓

62'

Mojica ↑ ·

Morey Bauza ↓

80'

Mascarell ↑ ·

Morlanes ↓

80'

Torre ↑ ·

Darder ↓

90'

Prats ↑ ·

Muriqi ↓

Statistics

SEV 1 – 3 MAL

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 1 – 3

R. Martinez ↓ · C. Azpilicueta ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

R. Vargas

Assist · J. A. Carmona · 1–0

⚽

16'

Half-time · 1 – 0

55'

▮

Antonio Raíllo

Yellow Card

Gabriel Suazo

Yellow Card

▮

59'

62'

⇄

M. Joseph ↓ · J. Llabres ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

J. Mojica ↓ · M. Morey Bauza ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⚽

V. Muriqi

Assist · J. Virgili · 1–1

A. Adams ↓ · I. Romero ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

A. Sanchez ↓ · D. Sow ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

A. Januzaj ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

72'

⚽

M. Joseph

Assist · J. Mojica · 1–2

77'

⚽

M. Joseph

1–3

80'

⇄

O. Mascarell ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

P. Torre ↓ · S. Darder ↑

Substitution 4

José Ángel Carmona

Yellow Card

▮

85'

C. Ejuke ↓ · R. Vargas ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

90'

⇄

A. Prats ↓ · V. Muriqi ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Mallorca won 3–1 away at Sevilla. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.85 to 1.13. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 7, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Vargas (16'), V. Muriqi (67'), M. Joseph (72'), M. Joseph (77').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.29 units (Brier 0.355).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.93	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.73	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.83	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.10	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	90%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.64	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.75	—	16%	Cashed	+3.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.08	—	45%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	68%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.29	—	41%	Cashed	+1.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.20	—	21%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.00	—	41%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.45	—	16%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+4.29u	+25% ROI

Sevilla vs Mallorca 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Preview & Verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled