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Home › Spain › La Liga › Espanyol — Real Betis

Espanyol vs Real Betis 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Espanyol
Espanyol
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 16:30
1:2
Full-time
Real Betis
Real Betis
W D W L W Away · last 5
Referee Iosu Galech Apezteguia, Spain
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 36% · book 3.20 ✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 39% · book 2.80 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.71 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
2.24 – 1.33
Δ +0.91
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
4 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.80 — +9.2% better than the market.

Espanyol vs Real Betis — betting preview

Profiles are close, but Betis carry a slight overall edge through the spine and recent away consistency. Espanyol’s home push and set-piece threat keep them live, yet the visitors project to create the cleaner moments if the game opens up. If Betis strike first, tempo and space increase; if not, long spells of control without clear looks can cap the total.

Model lean: away-sided outcomes with a modest tilt to scoring on both ends. The clearest numerical angle at current prices sits in selective fades of a home/away team total rather than headline markets.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 39% Implied 36% +1.80u
+180%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ESP 4-2-3-1 · BET 4-2-3-1
ESP · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BET 13 Dmitrović 23 Hilali 38 Riedel 6 Cabrera 22 Romero 10 Lozano ⚽ 8 Expósito 24 Dolan 7 Puado 11 Milla 9 Fernández 25 López 2 Bellerín 4 Natan 16 Gómez 12 Rodríguez 8 Fornals 21 Roca 7 Antony 20 Celso 10 Ezzalzouli ⚽ 19 Hernández ⚽
Subs used · ESP
60' Gonzalez ↑ · Milla ↓
68' Koleosho ↑ · Dolan ↓
68' Garcia ↑ · Lozano ↓
83' Sanchez ↑ · El Hilali ↓
83' Terrats ↑ · Exposito ↓
Subs used · BET
68' Riquelme ↑ · Lo Celso ↓
77' Ruibal ↑ · Antony ↓
77' Altimira ↑ · Fornals ↓
90+1' Bakambu ↑ · Hernandez ↓

Statistics

ESP 1 – 2 BET
50%
Possession (%)
50%
2.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.33
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
6
9
Shots Inside Box
7
10
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
4
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
6
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

20 · 1 – 2
-5'
▮
Chimy Ávila
Yellow Card
-5'
▮
Giovani Lo Celso
Yellow Card
P. Lozano
Assist · C. Riedel · 1–0
⚽
15'
Pere Milla
Yellow Card
▮
27'
33'
▮
Pablo Fornals
Yellow Card
Javi Puado
Yellow Card
▮
45'
45'
▮
Antony
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
54'
⚽
Cucho Hernandez
Assist · R. Rodriguez · 1–1
U. Gonzalez ↓ · P. Milla ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
63'
⚽
A. Ezzalzouli
Assist · P. Fornals · 1–2
L. Koleosho ↓ · T. Dolan ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
K. Garcia ↓ · P. Lozano ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
68'
⇄
R. Riquelme ↓ · G. Lo Celso ↑
Substitution 1
77'
⇄
A. Ruibal ↓ · Antony ↑
Substitution 2
77'
⇄
S. Altimira ↓ · P. Fornals ↑
Substitution 3
R. Sanchez ↓ · O. El Hilali ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
R. Terrats ↓ · Exposito ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
90+1'
⇄
C. Bakambu ↓ · Cucho Hernandez ↑
Substitution 4
90+11'
▮
Valentín Gómez
Yellow Card
90+13'
▮
Pau López
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Real Betis won 2–1 away at Espanyol. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.24 to 1.33. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Lozano (15'), Cucho Hernandez (54'), A. Ezzalzouli (63').

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 4 landed and 3 missed, for a net +0.97 units (Brier 0.170).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 4 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 3.20 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.80 — 39% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.71 — 60% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.93 — 53% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 — 66% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 3.65 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.68 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 3 L +0.97u +14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
ESP – BET @ 2.80
+9.2%
Edge
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