P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Villarreal

Predictions Real Madrid vs Villarreal October 4, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 19:00
3:1
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
Home Win · REA
64%
Best 1.42
Draw
19%
Best 5.00
Away Win · VIL
18%
Best 6.60
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.83
Fair odds
2.78
book 2.83 · +1.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +1.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 17.5%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.5%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 1 market
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 68%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 36%
Odds 2.83
Show model details
Implied probability 35.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 82%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.