P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Betis — Osasuna

Real Betis vs Osasuna 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Betis
Real Betis
Home · last 5 W D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
Osasuna
Osasuna
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.06 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.94 ✗
Hit
AH Home -0.5
AH Home -0.5
AI 58% · book 1.84 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
0.66 – 0.75
Δ −0.09
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
4 / 8
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.84 — +8.0% better than the market.

Real Betis enters this match with a clear home advantage and a stronger overall profile, showing solid recent form and a more potent attack compared to Osasuna. Osasuna’s away performances have been inconsistent, with a tendency to concede more goals than they score. The game is likely to feature a moderate tempo with Real Betis pushing for control and Osasuna aiming to stay compact defensively. Our model favors a home win but keeps the draw in consideration given Osasuna's defensive resilience. The goal expectation leans towards over 2.5, reflecting Betis’ attacking intent and Osasuna’s vulnerability at the back. Key value lies in Asian Handicap options and the home team scoring over 0.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.84 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 54% +0.84u
+84%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BET 4-2-3-1 · OSA 3-5-2
Subs used · BET
56' Ruibal ↑ · Ezzalzouli ↓
68' Altimira ↑ · Roca ↓
76' Riquelme ↑ · Fornals ↓
77' Ortiz ↑ · Bellerín ↓
Subs used · OSA
46' Muñoz ↑ · Herrando ↓
46' Becker ↑ · Torró ↓
66' Muñoz ↑ · Gómez ↓
83' Barja ↑ · Rosier ↓
83' Osambela ↑ · Moncayola ↓

Statistics

BET 2 – 0 OSA
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.75
12
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
7
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

12 · 2 – 0
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
Assist · Cucho Hernández · 1–0
⚽
19'
Cucho Hernández
Assist · Pablo Fornals · 2–0
⚽
38'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
Victor Muñoz ↓ · Jorge Herrando ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
Sheraldo Becker ↓ · Lucas Torró ↑
Substitution 2
Aitor Ruibal ↓ · Abdessamad Ezzalzouli ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
56'
63'
▮
Moi Gómez
Yellow Card
66'
⇄
Iker Muñoz ↓ · Moi Gómez ↑
Substitution 3
Sergi Altimira ↓ · Marc Roca ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
Rodrigo Riquelme ↓ · Pablo Fornals ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
Angel Ortiz ↓ · Héctor Bellerín ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
83'
⇄
Kike Barja ↓ · Valentin Rosier ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
Asier Osambela ↓ · Jon Moncayola ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Real Betis beat Osasuna 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (19'), Cucho Hernández (38').

Model audit for this match: of 8 graded markets, 4 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.90 units (Brier 0.137).

Bet recap · markets settled

8 · 4 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.06 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.94 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -0.5 1.84 — 58% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.19 — 85% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.23 — 75% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Home Win 1.84 — 59% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Draw 3.84 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 8 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 4 L −1.90u −24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
BET – OSA @ 1.84
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →