Real Betis enters this match with a clear home advantage and a stronger overall profile, showing solid recent form and a more potent attack compared to Osasuna. Osasuna’s away performances have been inconsistent, with a tendency to concede more goals than they score. The game is likely to feature a moderate tempo with Real Betis pushing for control and Osasuna aiming to stay compact defensively. Our model favors a home win but keeps the draw in consideration given Osasuna's defensive resilience. The goal expectation leans towards over 2.5, reflecting Betis’ attacking intent and Osasuna’s vulnerability at the back. Key value lies in Asian Handicap options and the home team scoring over 0.5 goals.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
BET 4-2-3-1 · OSA 3-5-2📊 Statistics
BET 2 – 0 OSA51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.66
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.75
12
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
7
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
⏱ Match events
12 · 2 – 0Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
Assist · Cucho Hernández · 1–0
19'
Cucho Hernández
Assist · Pablo Fornals · 2–0
38'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
Victor Muñoz ↓ · Jorge Herrando ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
Sheraldo Becker ↓ · Lucas Torró ↑
Substitution 2
Aitor Ruibal ↓ · Abdessamad Ezzalzouli ↑
Substitution 1
56'
63'
▮
Moi Gómez
Yellow Card
66'
⇄
Iker Muñoz ↓ · Moi Gómez ↑
Substitution 3
Sergi Altimira ↓ · Marc Roca ↑
Substitution 2
68'
Rodrigo Riquelme ↓ · Pablo Fornals ↑
Substitution 3
76'
Angel Ortiz ↓ · Héctor Bellerín ↑
Substitution 4
77'
83'
⇄
Kike Barja ↓ · Valentin Rosier ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
Asier Osambela ↓ · Jon Moncayola ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 0
Match recap
Real Betis beat Osasuna 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.
On the scoresheet: Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (19'), Cucho Hernández (38').
Model audit for this match: of 8 graded markets, 4 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.90 units (Brier 0.137).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
8 · 4 W · 4 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.06 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.94 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -0.5 | 1.84 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.84 | Cashed |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.19 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.19 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.23 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.23 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.84 | — | 59% | Cashed | +0.84 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.84 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 5.00 | — | 17% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 8 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 4 L | −1.90u | −24% ROI |