This matchup features Elche with a clear home advantage and stronger recent form compared to Celta Vigo, who have struggled to find wins and show a more cautious away approach. Elche’s defensive solidity at home and better points per game suggest they will control the tempo and limit chances. The game is likely to be moderately paced with a modest goal count, favoring a home win or a draw. The market offers value in backing Elche to avoid defeat and in the under 2.5 goals, reflecting the expected tightness and defensive discipline.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
ELC 5-3-2 · CEL 4-3-3📊 Statistics
ELC 2 – 1 CEL62%
Possession (%)
38%
3.33
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.77
17
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
3
15
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
20
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
⏱ Match events
19 · 2 – 117'
▮
Óscar Mingueza
Yellow Card
Andre Silva
Assist · Josan · 1–0
18'
22'
⚽
B. Iglesias
Assist · I. Moriba · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
46'
⇄
J. Rodriguez ↓ · I. Moriba ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
J. Rueda ↓ · O. Mingueza ↑
Substitution 2
57'
▮
Yoel Lago
Yellow Card
Josan
Yellow Card
64'
A. Rodriguez ↓ · Andre Silva ↑
Substitution 1
64'
67'
⇄
W. Swedberg ↓ · B. Zaragoza ↑
Substitution 3
J. Donald
2–1
68'
David Affengruber
Yellow Card
70'
Adrià Pedrosa
Yellow Card
72'
L. Petrot ↓ · A. Pedrosa ↑
Substitution 2
73'
V. Chust ↓ · P. Bigas ↑
Substitution 3
73'
73'
⇄
I. Aspas ↓ · Y. Lago ↑
Substitution 4
M. Aguado ↓ · Josan ↑
Substitution 4
81'
G. Diangana ↓ · R. Mir ↑
Substitution 5
81'
82'
⇄
M. Fernandez ↓ · M. Alonso ↑
Substitution 5
85'
▮
Miguel Román
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1
Match recap
Elche beat Celta Vigo 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.33 to 0.77. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: Andre Silva (18'), B. Iglesias (22'), J. Donald (68').
Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.14 units (Brier 0.203).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
9 · 4 W · 5 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 1.53 | — | 69% | Cashed | +0.53 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 1.74 | — | 65% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 1.95 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 2.05 | — | 50% | Cashed | +1.05 | Cashed |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.39 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.39 | Cashed |
| Away Team Total Under 0.5 | 3.30 | — | 35% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 2.89 | — | 41% | Cashed | +1.89 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.30 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 2.75 | — | 32% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 9 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 5 L | −1.14u | −13% ROI |