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Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid September 27, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 14:15
5:2
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Referee Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
Home Win · ATM
34%
Best 3.14
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · REA
42%
Best 2.25
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.57
Fair odds
1.43
book 1.57 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 70% · EV +10.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.5%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 1 market
Over 2.5 Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
Team Totals 1 market
Home Team Total Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 75%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 40%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 67%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.