P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Levante — Real Madrid

Match Levante vs Real Madrid September 23, 2025 — Result and Stats

Spain   /   La Liga
Levante
Levante
Home · last 5 L W W W L
Kick-off
Tue 23 Sep · 19:30
1:4
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia · Valencia Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 70% · book 1.47
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.79
Hit
AH Away +0.5
AH Away +0.5
AI 78% · book 1.32
Total goals
5
1 · 4
xG (open play)
1.60 – 3.94
Δ −2.34
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Levante faces a tough challenge hosting Real Madrid, who arrive in excellent form with a strong defensive record and potent attack. Levante’s recent results show struggles, especially at home, with limited scoring and defensive vulnerabilities. Real Madrid’s consistency and ability to control games away from home suggest a clear advantage. The model favors an away win with a high probability, reflecting Real’s dominance and Levante’s difficulties. Goals are expected, supporting the over 2.5 goals market, while both teams scoring is also likely given Levante’s defensive lapses and Real’s attacking threat. Conservative options include double chance on Real Madrid or Asian handicap in their favor, offering value given the odds.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEV 4-4-2 · REA 3-4-2-1
Subs used · LEV
65' Brugue ↑ · A. Olasagasti
65' Arriaga ↑ · Vencedor
74' Morales ↑ · Alvarez
74' Koyalipou ↑ · Romero
74' Losada ↑ · Eyong
Subs used · REA
71' Bellingham ↑ · Valverde
71' Tchouameni ↑ · Mastantuono
82' Alaba ↑ · Carreras
82' Camavinga ↑ · Ceballos
82' Rodrygo ↑ · Mbappe

📊 Statistics

LEV 14 REA
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.94
11
Total Shots
24
2
Shots on Target
10
3
Shots off Target
11
8
Shots Inside Box
16
1
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
9
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
1
Yellow Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 1 – 4
28'
Vinicius Junior
Assist · F. Valverde · 0–1
38'
F. Mastantuono
Assist · Vinicius Junior · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
54'
Álvaro Carreras
Yellow Card
Etta Eyong
1–2
54'
Unai Elgezabal
Yellow Card
58'
64'
K. Mbappe (P)
Penalty · 1–3
R. Brugue ↓ · J. A. Olasagasti ↑
Substitution 1
65'
K. Arriaga ↓ · U. Vencedor ↑
Substitution 2
65'
66'
K. Mbappe
Assist · A. Guler · 1–4
71'
J. Bellingham ↓ · F. Valverde ↑
Substitution 1
71'
A. Tchouameni ↓ · F. Mastantuono ↑
Substitution 2
J. Morales ↓ · C. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 3
74'
G. Koyalipou ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 4
74'
I. Losada ↓ · Etta Eyong ↑
Substitution 5
74'
82'
D. Alaba ↓ · A. Carreras ↑
Substitution 3
82'
E. Camavinga ↓ · D. Ceballos ↑
Substitution 4
82'
Rodrygo ↓ · K. Mbappe ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 4

Match recap

Real Madrid won 4–1 away at Levante. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.94 to 1.60. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 11, 10 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: Vinicius Junior (28'), F. Mastantuono (38'), Etta Eyong (54'), K. Mbappe (64'), K. Mbappe (66').

Model audit for this match: of 10 graded markets, 8 landed and 2 missed, for a net +0.90 units (Brier 0.079).

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 8 W · 2 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.47 70% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.79 65% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
AH Away +0.5 1.32 78% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Away Win 1.37 79% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Draw 6.10 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 9.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.11 85% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.12 78% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.65 40% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Away Team Total Over 0.5 1.07 85% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 2 L +0.90u +9% ROI