⛀ Lineups
KOL 4-4-2 · WER 4-2-3-1📊 Statistics
KOL 3 – 1 WER⏱ Match events
19 · 3 – 1Match recap
1. FC Köln beat Werder Bremen 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.47 to 0.92. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 6, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: S. El Mala (7'), R. Ache (65'), R. Schmid (75'), M. Backhaus (90'). Marco Friedl was sent off in the 24' minute.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.12 units (Brier 0.182).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 2.28 | — | 52% | Cashed | +1.28 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 2.37 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 | — | 51% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.79 | — | 49% | Cashed | +0.79 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.63 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.63 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.60 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.60 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.70 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 2.41 | — | 22% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44 | — | 73% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.38 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.38 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 4.35 | — | 27% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.88 | — | 27% | Cashed | +1.88 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 14.50 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.06 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.75 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.26 | — | 73% | Cashed | +0.26 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 3.34 | — | 22% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −3.12u | −18% ROI |