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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Köln — Werder Bremen

Predictions by Market: 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 13:30
3:1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Tobias Reichel, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · KOL
53%
Best 2.31
Draw
25%
Best 3.40
Away Win · WER
22%
Best 3.05
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.37
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.37 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (52%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 52.5%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.4%
Odds 3.34
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.4%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
KOL – WER @ 2.37
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →