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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart — Hamburger SV

Match VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV April 12, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L D D W D
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.75
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.75
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.30
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
3.64 – 0.61
Δ +3.03
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.75 — +8.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.75 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

STU 4-2-3-1 · HAM 3-4-1-2
Subs used · STU
70' Nartey ↑ · Andres
70' Tomas ↑ · Demirovic
70' El Khannouss ↑ · Fuhrich
88' Vagnoman ↑ · Assignon
88' Arevalo ↑ · Undav
Subs used · HAM
60' Stange ↑ · Philippe
60' Glatzel ↑ · Gronbaek
72' Gocholeishvili ↑ · Balde
72' Capaldo ↑ · Elfadli

📊 Statistics

STU 40 HAM
65%
Possession (%)
35%
3.64
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.61
23
Total Shots
9
11
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
4
16
Shots Inside Box
4
8
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

16 · 4 – 0
A. Stiller
Assist · J. Leweling · 1–0
21'
Chema Andrés
Yellow Card
24'
C. Fuhrich
Assist · E. Demirovic · 2–0
32'
Half-time · 2 – 0
M. Mittelstadt
Assist · C. Fuhrich · 3–0
56'
60'
O. Stange ↓ · R. Philippe ↑
Substitution 1
60'
R. Glatzel ↓ · A. Gronbaek ↑
Substitution 2
N. Nartey ↓ · C. Andres ↑
Substitution 1
70'
T. Tomas ↓ · E. Demirovic ↑
Substitution 2
70'
B. El Khannouss ↓ · C. Fuhrich ↑
Substitution 3
70'
72'
G. Gocholeishvili ↓ · F. Balde ↑
Substitution 3
72'
N. Capaldo ↓ · D. Elfadli ↑
Substitution 4
Deniz Undav
Yellow Card
80'
80'
Nicolás Capaldo
Yellow Card
B. El Khannouss
Assist · T. Tomas · 4–0
86'
J. Vagnoman ↓ · L. Assignon ↑
Substitution 4
88'
Jeremy Arevalo ↓ · D. Undav ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.75 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.75 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 45% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.25 38% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Home Win 1.48 70% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.13 90% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 59% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.85 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.16 70% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Under 0.5 22.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.08 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.16 81% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Away Win 7.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.25 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.99u −29% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
STU – HAM @ 1.75
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →