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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — Bayer Leverkusen

Match Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 13:30
0:1
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Referee Deniz Aytekin, Germany
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 2.01
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 46% · book 2.45
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 35% · book 2.63
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.26 – 0.60
Δ +0.66
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a clear quality edge and a potent attack that challenges Leverkusen's defense. Their recent form shows resilience despite a minor slip, while Leverkusen's mixed results and defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited. Expect a lively pace given the goal-friendly odds, with Dortmund's pressing and set-piece threat likely to shape the contest.

  • Home side's offensive edge against away defense
  • Better recent form and home comfort
  • Potential for multiple goals in an open game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

DOR 3-5-1-1 · BAY 3-4-2-1
Subs used · DOR
59' Beier ↑ · Svensson
64' Inacio ↑ · Silva
64' Chukwuemeka ↑ · Sabitzer
75' Kabar ↑ · Ryerson
76' Ozcan ↑ · Bellingham
Subs used · BAY
54' Schick ↑ · Kofane
74' Lucas ↑ · Culbreath
74' Poku ↑ · Tella
90+2' Tillman ↑ · Maza

📊 Statistics

DOR 01 BAY
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.26
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.60
14
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Target
4
11
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
5
Fouls
6
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
3
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

13 · 0 – 1
Ramy Bensebaini
Yellow Card
5'
42'
R. Andrich
0–1
Serhou Guirassy
Yellow Card
45'
Half-time · 0 – 1
54'
P. Schick ↓ · C. Kofane ↑
Substitution 1
M. Beier ↓ · D. Svensson ↑
Substitution 1
59'
Maximilian Beier
Yellow Card
63'
S. Inacio ↓ · F. Silva ↑
Substitution 2
64'
C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · M. Sabitzer ↑
Substitution 3
64'
74'
Lucas ↓ · M. Culbreath ↑
Substitution 2
74'
E. Poku ↓ · N. Tella ↑
Substitution 3
A. Kabar ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑
Substitution 4
75'
S. Ozcan ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑
Substitution 5
76'
90+2'
M. Tillman ↓ · I. Maza ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen won 1–0 away at Borussia Dortmund. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.26 to 0.60. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Andrich (42').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.43 units (Brier 0.388).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.01 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.45 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 35% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.65 54% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.52 33% Cashed +1.52 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.89 43% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.72 20% Cashed +1.72 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.52 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.51 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.18 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.05 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.25 15% Cashed +4.25 Cashed
Away Win 3.74 20% Cashed +2.74 Cashed
Under 0.5 18.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +4.43u +26% ROI