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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — Bayer Leverkusen

Predictions Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen April 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 13:30
0:1
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Referee Deniz Aytekin, Germany
Home Win · DOR
57%
Best 2.00
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · BAY
20%
Best 3.45
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.45
Fair odds
2.19
book 2.45 · +12.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +12.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 57.3%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 19.6%
Odds 3.74
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.1%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 19.6%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 42.8%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.