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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen — VfL Wolfsburg

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg April 4, 2026

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:30
6:3
Full-time
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
D L W D L Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Martin Petersen, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.75
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.75
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.28
Total goals
9
6 · 3
xG (open play)
4.20 – 2.02
Δ +2.18
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen hosts VfL Wolfsburg with a clear quality edge and a home advantage that suggests control over the match tempo. Despite recent struggles, Leverkusen's offensive strength against Wolfsburg's leaky defense points to a pressing edge. Wolfsburg's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities could see Leverkusen capitalize on set-pieces and quick transitions.

  • Home momentum despite patchy recent results
  • Strong attacking mismatch versus away defense
  • Likely moderate pace with goal opportunities

Wolfsburg faces an uphill battle with limited form and defensive frailties, making it tough to contain Leverkusen's home pressure. Expect a match where Leverkusen tries to impose their rhythm and exploit the away side's inconsistencies.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · WOL 3-4-2-1
Subs used · BAY
46' Schick ↑ · Fernandez
81' Poku ↑ · Tella
88' Tillman ↑ · Kofane
Subs used · WOL
66' Lindstrom ↑ · Wimmer
81' Arnold ↑ · Eriksen
81' Pejcinovic ↑ · Wind
82' Svanberg ↑ · Kumbedi

📊 Statistics

BAY 63 WOL
69%
Possession (%)
31%
4.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.02
24
Total Shots
11
11
Shots on Target
5
9
Shots off Target
5
17
Shots Inside Box
7
12
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
11
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

20 · 6 – 3
16'
J. Wind
Assist · K. Koulierakis · 0–1
29'
Joakim Mæhle
Yellow Card
A. Grimaldo (P)
Penalty · 1–1
30'
31'
J. Maehle
1–2
Edmond Tapsoba
Yellow Card
37'
38'
C. Eriksen (P)
Penalty · 1–3
A. Grimaldo
Assist · E. Fernandez · 2–3
44'
Half-time · 2 – 3
P. Schick ↓ · E. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
P. Schick (P)
Penalty · 3–3
53'
55'
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Yellow Card
66'
J. Lindstrom ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑
Substitution 1
E. Tapsoba
4–3
68'
71'
Denis Vavro
Yellow Card
I. Maza
Assist · E. Palacios · 5–3
73'
E. Poku ↓ · N. Tella ↑
Substitution 2
81'
81'
M. Arnold ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑
Substitution 2
81'
D. Pejcinovic ↓ · J. Wind ↑
Substitution 3
82'
M. Svanberg ↓ · S. Kumbedi ↑
Substitution 4
M. Tillman ↓ · C. Kofane ↑
Substitution 3
88'
M. Tillman
Assist · E. Poku · 6–3
90'
Full-time · 6 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.75 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.75 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.28 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.28 40% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Home Win 1.46 71% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.13 90% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 62% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.95 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.16 71% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.10 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.20 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 21.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.16 83% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Away Win 7.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.25 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.61u −33% ROI