Match Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg April 4, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen hosts VfL Wolfsburg with a clear quality edge and a home advantage that suggests control over the match tempo. Despite recent struggles, Leverkusen's offensive strength against Wolfsburg's leaky defense points to a pressing edge. Wolfsburg's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities could see Leverkusen capitalize on set-pieces and quick transitions.

Home momentum despite patchy recent results
Strong attacking mismatch versus away defense
Likely moderate pace with goal opportunities

Wolfsburg faces an uphill battle with limited form and defensive frailties, making it tough to contain Leverkusen's home pressure. Expect a match where Leverkusen tries to impose their rhythm and exploit the away side's inconsistencies.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · WOL 3-4-2-1

BAY · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · WOL

35 Kofane

Subs used · BAY

46'

Schick ↑ ·

Fernandez ↓

81'

Poku ↑ ·

Tella ↓

88'

Tillman ↑ ·

Kofane ↓

Subs used · WOL

66'

Lindstrom ↑ ·

Wimmer ↓

81'

Arnold ↑ ·

Eriksen ↓

81'

Pejcinovic ↑ ·

Wind ↓

82'

Svanberg ↑ ·

Kumbedi ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 6 – 3 WOL

69%

Possession (%)

31%

4.20

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.02

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 6 – 3

16'

⚽

J. Wind

Assist · K. Koulierakis · 0–1

29'

▮

Joakim Mæhle

Yellow Card

A. Grimaldo (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

30'

31'

⚽

J. Maehle

1–2

Edmond Tapsoba

Yellow Card

▮

37'

38'

⚽

C. Eriksen (P)

Penalty · 1–3

A. Grimaldo

Assist · E. Fernandez · 2–3

⚽

44'

Half-time · 2 – 3

P. Schick ↓ · E. Fernandez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

P. Schick (P)

Penalty · 3–3

⚽

53'

55'

▮

Konstantinos Koulierakis

Yellow Card

66'

⇄

J. Lindstrom ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑

Substitution 1

E. Tapsoba

4–3

⚽

68'

71'

▮

Denis Vavro

Yellow Card

I. Maza

Assist · E. Palacios · 5–3

⚽

73'

E. Poku ↓ · N. Tella ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

81'

⇄

M. Arnold ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑

Substitution 2

81'

⇄

D. Pejcinovic ↓ · J. Wind ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

M. Svanberg ↓ · S. Kumbedi ↑

Substitution 4

M. Tillman ↓ · C. Kofane ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

88'

M. Tillman

Assist · E. Poku · 6–3

⚽

90'

Full-time · 6 – 3

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen beat VfL Wolfsburg 6–3 at home. At half-time it was 2–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.20 to 2.02. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 11, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 6 from 4.20 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Wind (16'), A. Grimaldo (30'), J. Maehle (31'), C. Eriksen (38'), A. Grimaldo (44'), P. Schick (53'), E. Tapsoba (68'), I. Maza (73'), M. Tillman (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.61 units (Brier 0.102).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.75	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.75	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.28	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.28	—	40%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Home Win	1.46	—	71%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	90%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.50	—	62%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.95	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.16	—	71%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.10	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.20	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	21.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.16	—	83%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Away Win	7.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.25	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.61u	−33% ROI

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled