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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayer Leverkusen — VfL Wolfsburg

Predictions by Market: Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:30
6:3
Full-time
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
D L W D L Away · last 5
BayArena · Bayer Leverkusen Referee Martin Petersen, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
71%
Best 1.44
Draw
19%
Best 4.90
Away Win · WOL
10%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.10
Fair odds
5.82
book 6.10 · +4.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +4.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (83%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.1%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 9.8%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40.5%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.2%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 9.8%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BAY – WOL @ 6.10
+4.8%
Edge
Forecast →