P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — 1899 Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5:0: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Fri 20 Mar · 19:30
5:0
Full-time
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
W W D W L Away · last 5
Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.94 ✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 49% · book 2.08 ✓
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 35% · book 2.77 ✗
Total goals
5
5 · 0
xG (open play)
2.39 – 0.78
Δ +1.61
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.94 — +11.3% better than the market.

RB Leipzig hosts 1899 Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a quality edge, suggesting a tactical battle. Leipzig’s home momentum and slightly better recent form hint at a pressing style to unsettle Hoffenheim’s defense. Expect a moderately open game given the attacking matchups and odds favoring over 2.5 goals, with both sides likely to create chances.

  • Leipzig’s home edge in pressing and form
  • Hoffenheim’s stronger overall quality
  • Potential for goals from both sides in a lively tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.94 ✗ Lost
AI 57% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEI 4-3-3 · HOF 4-4-2
LEI · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · HOF 26 Vandevoordt 17 Baku 4 Orbán 23 Lukeba 22 Raum 24 Schlager 13 Seiwald 14 Baumgartner ⚽ 10 Gruda ⚽ 40 Rômulo 49 Diomande 1 Baumann 34 Coufal 2 Hranáč 5 Kabak 13 Bernardo 22 Prass 18 Burger 6 Prömel 29 Touré 11 Asllani 19 Lemperle
Subs used · LEI
66' Nusa ↑ · Diomande ↓
66' Banzuzi ↑ · Schlager ↓
76' Henrichs ↑ · Baku ↓
76' Harder ↑ · Cardoso ↓
82' Finkgrafe ↑ · Raum ↓
Subs used · HOF
46' Kramaric ↑ · Asllani ↓
46' Hajdari ↑ · Hranac ↓
69' Moerstedt ↑ · Lemperle ↓
69' Campbell ↑ · Toure ↓
76' Damar ↑ · Bernardo ↓

Statistics

LEI 5 – 0 HOF
50%
Possession (%)
50%
2.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.78
14
Total Shots
8
9
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
6
1
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
16
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 5 – 0
Willi Orbán
Yellow Card
▮
14'
B. Gruda
1–0
⚽
17'
C. Baumgartner
Assist · D. Raum · 2–0
⚽
21'
23'
▮
Bernardo
Yellow Card
C. Baumgartner
Assist · B. Gruda · 3–0
⚽
30'
B. Gruda
Assist · Y. Diomande · 4–0
⚽
44'
Half-time · 4 – 0
46'
⇄
A. Kramaric ↓ · F. Asllani ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
A. Hajdari ↓ · R. Hranac ↑
Substitution 2
A. Nusa ↓ · Y. Diomande ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
E. Banzuzi ↓ · X. Schlager ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
69'
⇄
M. Moerstedt ↓ · T. Lemperle ↑
Substitution 3
69'
⇄
C. Campbell ↓ · B. Toure ↑
Substitution 4
B. Henrichs ↓ · R. Baku ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
C. Harder ↓ · Romulo Cardoso ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
76'
⇄
M. Damar ↓ · Bernardo ↑
Substitution 5
B. Henrichs
5–0
⚽
78'
M. Finkgrafe ↓ · D. Raum ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
Full-time · 5 – 0

Match recap

RB Leipzig beat 1899 Hoffenheim 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.39 to 0.78. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 8, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.39 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: B. Gruda (17'), C. Baumgartner (21'), C. Baumgartner (30'), B. Gruda (44'), B. Henrichs (78').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.48 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.94 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.08 — 49% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.77 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.88 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.97 — 43% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Away Win 3.74 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.40 — 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
BTTS No 3.10 — 31% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.40 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.10 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.32 — 65% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 — 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.13 — 87% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.49 — 43% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Draw 4.22 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.75 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 27.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.48u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEI – HOF @ 1.94
+11.3%
Edge
Forecast →