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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV

Match Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV March 21, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 17:30
3:2
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.67 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.56 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.10 ✗
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
6.20 – 1.47
Δ +4.73
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a strong attacking profile against Hamburger SV's less robust defense. Dortmund's recent form shows signs of inconsistency, but their offensive firepower and pressing edge should challenge HSV's compact block. The pace is likely moderate, with a balanced goal environment hinted by market odds.

  • Home attacking threat vs away defensive resilience
  • Moderate tempo expected, favoring Dortmund's pressing style
  • Recent form suggests Dortmund can capitalize on home advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

DOR 3-5-2 · HAM 3-4-3
DOR · 3-5-2 3-4-3 · HAM 1 Kobel 49 Reggiani 3 Anton 4 Schlotterbeck 26 Ryerson 20 Sabitzer 7 Bellingham 8 Nmecha 24 Svensson 14 Beier 27 Adeyemi 1 Fernandes 17 Omari 44 Vušković 25 Torunarigha 2 Mikelbrencis 6 Lokonga ⚽ 21 Remberg 28 Muheim 20 Vieira 11 Königsdörffer 27 Otele ⚽
Subs used · DOR
46' Guirassy ↑ · Adeyemi ↓
46' Bensebaini ↑ · Reggiani ↓
58' Silva ↑ · Svensson ↓
58' Chukwuemeka ↑ · Sabitzer ↓
90+6' Brandt ↑ · Nmecha ↓
Subs used · HAM
67' Downs ↑ · Vieira ↓
68' Balde ↑ · Otele ↓
79' Stange ↑ · Konigsdorffer ↓
90+1' Dompe ↑ · Mikelbrencis ↓
90+1' Philippe ↑ · Omari ↓

📊 Statistics

DOR 3 – 2 HAM
68%
Possession (%)
32%
6.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.47
24
Total Shots
4
8
Shots on Target
4
11
Shots off Target
0
20
Shots Inside Box
3
11
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
8
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

⏱ Match events

20 · 3 – 2
19'
⚽
P. Otele
Assist · W. Mikelbrencis · 0–1
38'
⚽
A. S. Lokonga
Assist · F. Vieira · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
S. Guirassy ↓ · K. Adeyemi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
R. Bensebaini ↓ · L. Reggiani ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
Karim Adeyemi
Yellow Card
▮
45+4'
45+4'
▮
Nicolai Remberg
Yellow Card
F. Silva ↓ · D. Svensson ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
58'
C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · M. Sabitzer ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
58'
67'
⇄
D. Downs ↓ · F. Vieira ↑
Substitution 1
68'
▮
Philip Otele
Yellow Card
68'
⇄
F. Balde ↓ · P. Otele ↑
Substitution 2
72'
▮
William Mikelbrencis
Yellow Card
R. Bensebaini (P)
Penalty · 1–2
⚽
73'
S. Guirassy
2–2
⚽
78'
79'
⇄
O. Stange ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑
Substitution 3
R. Bensebaini (P)
Penalty · 3–2
⚽
84'
90+1'
⇄
J. Dompe ↓ · W. Mikelbrencis ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
⇄
R. Philippe ↓ · W. Omari ↑
Substitution 5
Julian Ryerson
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
J. Brandt ↓ · F. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+6'
Full-time · 3 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.67 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.56 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 — 53% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.40 — 38% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Home Win 1.44 — 72% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.12 — 91% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.55 — 60% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.08 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.16 — 72% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.20 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 — 81% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Away Win 8.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.25 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.34u −31% ROI