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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayern München — Union Berlin

Match Bayern München vs Union Berlin March 21, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 14:30
4:0
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
L L D W W Away · last 5
Referee Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 58% · book 1.92
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.97
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 42% · book 2.02
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
5.53 – 0.21
Δ +5.32
Possession
74% – 26%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.92 — +10.6% better than the market.

Bayern München enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack that outmatches Union Berlin’s defensive setup. Their recent form shows resilience and sharp finishing, while Union Berlin struggles to maintain consistency away. The home side’s pressing edge and superior quality gap suggest a dominant display, especially in a likely high-tempo game given the goal-scoring potential.

  • Bayern’s offensive firepower vs Union’s defense
  • Home crowd advantage fueling Bayern’s confidence
  • Union’s patchy away form limits their threat

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed
AI 58% Implied 52% +0.92u
+92%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · UNI 3-5-2
Subs used · BAY
61' Guerreiro ↑ · Karl
61' Bischof ↑ · Upamecano
71' Ito ↑ · Min-Jae
87' Osmani ↑ · Goretzka
87' Cardozo ↑ · Gnabry
Subs used · UNI
46' Rothe ↑ · Nsoki
46' Ilic ↑ · Skarke
61' Kral ↑ · Kemlein
61' Woo-Yeong ↑ · Burcu
76' Juranovic ↑ · Trimmel

📊 Statistics

BAY 40 UNI
74%
Possession (%)
26%
5.53
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.21
31
Total Shots
5
9
Shots on Target
1
14
Shots off Target
1
25
Shots Inside Box
1
12
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
4
5
Fouls
8
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 4 – 0
Dayot Upamecano
Yellow Card
3'
30'
Leopold Querfeld
Yellow Card
37'
Danilho Doekhi
Yellow Card
M. Olise
1–0
43'
S. Gnabry
2–0
45'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
T. Rothe ↓ · S. Nsoki ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Ilic ↓ · T. Skarke ↑
Substitution 2
H. Kane
Assist · K. Laimer · 3–0
49'
R. Guerreiro ↓ · L. Karl ↑
Substitution 1
61'
T. Bischof ↓ · D. Upamecano ↑
Substitution 2
61'
61'
A. Kral ↓ · A. Kemlein ↑
Substitution 3
61'
Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓ · L. Burcu ↑
Substitution 4
S. Gnabry
4–0
67'
H. Ito ↓ · Kim Min-Jae ↑
Substitution 3
71'
76'
J. Juranovic ↓ · C. Trimmel ↑
Substitution 5
E. Osmani ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑
Substitution 4
87'
M. Cardozo ↓ · S. Gnabry ↑
Substitution 5
87'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.92 58% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.97 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.02 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 44% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Draw 9.06 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.05 96% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.20 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.05 82% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.35 77% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.11 90% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Double Chance X2 5.57 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.45 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 8.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 17.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 29.00 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 9.20 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.39u −38% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 3.5
BAY – UNI @ 1.92
+10.6%
Edge
Forecast →