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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — 1. FC Köln

Match Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln March 14, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Tobias Welz, Germany
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 62% · book 1.80 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.11 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.26 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.35 – 1.22
Δ −0.87
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Hamburger SV shows strong home momentum with solid recent form and a pressing edge in attack-defense matchups. Despite 1.FC Köln having a higher overall quality rating, Hamburg's compact block and home crowd could neutralize that advantage. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with both sides capable of creating chances but defensive resilience likely to limit goals.

  • Home side's recent form outshines visitors'
  • Hamburg's defensive solidity vs Köln's attacking threat
  • Moderate tempo suggests balanced tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HAM 3-4-2-1 · KOL 4-2-3-1
HAM · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · KOL 1 Fernandes 17 Omari 44 Vušković 25 Torunarigha 2 Mikelbrencis 21 Remberg 6 Lokonga 28 Muheim 20 Vieira ⚽ 11 Königsdörffer 19 Downs 1 Schwäbe 5 Krauß 33 Berg 39 Özkaçar 32 Lund 18 Jóhannesson 6 Martel 38 Niang 16 Kamiński 13 Mala ⚽ 9 Ache
Subs used · HAM
66' Dompe ↑ · Konigsdorffer ↓
67' Stange ↑ · Downs ↓
79' Balde ↑ · Mikelbrencis ↓
79' Elfadli ↑ · Torunarigha ↓
90+2' Otele ↑ · Vieira ↓
Subs used · KOL
46' Maina ↑ · Niang ↓
74' Bulter ↑ · El Mala ↓
75' Sebulonsen ↑ · Ache ↓
84' Chavez ↑ · Krauss ↓
90+1' Kainz ↑ · Kaminski ↓

📊 Statistics

HAM 1 – 1 KOL
45%
Possession (%)
55%
0.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.22
5
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
8
1
Corner Kicks
8
11
Fouls
12
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 1
32'
▮
Said El Mala
Yellow Card
36'
▮
Kristoffer Lund
Yellow Card
F. Vieira
Assist · W. Mikelbrencis · 1–0
⚽
39'
Nicolai Remberg
Yellow Card
▮
41'
45'
⚽
S. El Mala
Assist · R. van den Berg · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
46'
⇄
L. Maina ↓ · Y. Niang ↑
Substitution 1
J. Dompe ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
O. Stange ↓ · D. Downs ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
74'
⇄
M. Bulter ↓ · S. El Mala ↑
Substitution 2
75'
⇄
S. Sebulonsen ↓ · R. Ache ↑
Substitution 3
76'
▮
Jakub Kamiński
Yellow Card
F. Balde ↓ · W. Mikelbrencis ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
79'
D. Elfadli ↓ · J. Torunarigha ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
84'
⇄
F. Chavez ↓ · T. Krauss ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
⇄
F. Kainz ↓ · J. Kaminski ↑
Substitution 5
P. Otele ↓ · F. Vieira ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+2'
Miro Muheim
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
90+8'
▮
Sebastian Sebulonsen
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.80 — 62% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.11 — 50% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
BTTS No 2.26 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.85 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.49 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 54% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 2.17 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.50 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 — 72% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.35 — 63% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 — 74% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.75 — 25% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.57 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.59u −15% ROI