P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — 1. FC Köln

Predictions by Market: Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburger Referee Tobias Welz, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HAM
38%
Best 2.44
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · KOL
37%
Best 2.97
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.80
Fair odds
1.62
book 1.80 · +11.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +11.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (63%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 36.9%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
HAM – KOL @ 1.80
+11.3%
Edge
Forecast →