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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen — FSV Mainz 05

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 February 28, 2026

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D L W L W Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Tobias Stieler, Germany
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 63% · book 1.75
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.73
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 36% · book 2.71
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.23 – 0.73
Δ +0.50
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a solid defensive setup that challenges Mainz's attack. Despite Mainz's recent winning streak, Leverkusen's home form and superior offensive metrics suggest they can control the pace and create chances. Expect a tactical battle where Leverkusen's pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • Leverkusen's home momentum and pressing edge
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · MAI 3-5-2
Subs used · BAY
46' Tape ↑ · Arthur
59' Maza ↑ · Hofmann
59' Terrier ↑ · Poku
72' Kofane ↑ · Fernandez
82' Garcia ↑ · Palacios
Subs used · MAI
69' Silas ↑ · Becker
81' da Costa ↑ · Widmer
89' Maloney ↑ · Jae-Sung

📊 Statistics

BAY 11 MAI
66%
Possession (%)
34%
1.23
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.73
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
13
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

13 · 1 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Tape ↓ · Arthur ↑
Substitution 1
46'
I. Maza ↓ · J. Hofmann ↑
Substitution 2
59'
M. Terrier ↓ · E. Poku ↑
Substitution 3
59'
Edmond Tapsoba
Yellow Card
66'
66'
Stefan Posch
Yellow Card
67'
S. Becker
Assist · P. Nebel · 0–1
69'
Silas ↓ · S. Becker ↑
Substitution 1
C. Kofane ↓ · E. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 4
72'
81'
D. da Costa ↓ · S. Widmer ↑
Substitution 2
A. Garcia ↓ · E. Palacios ↑
Substitution 5
82'
J. Quansah
Assist · C. Kofane · 1–1
88'
89'
L. Maloney ↓ · Lee Jae-Sung ↑
Substitution 3
90+2'
Lennard Maloney
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.75 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.71 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.23 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.28 42% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 57% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.25 37% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.22 85% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 80% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.75 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.20 22% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.50 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.92 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.60 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.57u −9% ROI