P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC Schalke 04 — FSV Mainz 05

Prediction: FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05, October 17

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04
Home · last 5 L D W D L
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct · 13:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D W L W L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SCH
26%
Best 2.98
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · MAI
50%
Best 2.44

Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 53% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 50% FSV Mainz 05 win
Over/Under 2.5 51% Under 2.5
BTTS 53% Yes
Double Chance 74% X2
  • 1X2 FSV Mainz 05 win 50%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51%
  • BTTS Yes 53%
  • Double Chance X2 74%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
FC Schalke 04
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 4 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.96 / 2.37
FSV Mainz 05
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 13 / 10
Avg goals / match 4.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.08 / 1.23

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.80
Goals Scored
2.60
1.20
Goals Conceded
2
0.38
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
3.60
Shots on Target
6
2.80
Corners
5.60
38.60
Possession (%)
50.40
85.57
Efficiency index
108.12
72.26
Adjusted index
133.36
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
0
OFF · home
44
100
DEF · home
33
61
OFF · away
94
67
DEF · away
83
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
FC Schalke 04 wins when scoring first
67%
①
FSV Mainz 05 wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
FC Schalke 04 BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
FSV Mainz 05 BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
FC Schalke 04 Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
FSV Mainz 05 Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
FC Schalke 04 comeback rate · last 10
25%
↩
FSV Mainz 05 comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

FC Schalke 04 · last 10 at home

0–15 31%
16–30 0%
31–45 8%
46–60 15%
61–75 0%
76–90 46%

FSV Mainz 05 · last 10 away

0–15 19%
16–30 10%
31–45 24%
46–60 14%
61–75 5%
76–90 29%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

P. Tietz
MAI · Attacker
4 G · 0.80 g/90
S. Becker
MAI · Attacker
2 G · 0.50 g/90