Match Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim February 8, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.78 — +10.4% better than the market.

Bayern München hold a clear quality edge and home momentum against Hoffenheim, who despite a perfect recent run, face a tough defensive challenge. Bayern's strong offensive output meets Hoffenheim's less robust defense, suggesting a high-scoring encounter. The home side's pressing edge and compact block could disrupt Hoffenheim's rhythm, while the pace hints at an open game with multiple goal opportunities.

Bayern's home advantage and offensive firepower
Hoffenheim's impressive but tested form
Potential for a lively, goal-rich match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 56% +0.78u

+78%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · HOF 4-5-1

BAY · 4-2-3-1 4-5-1 · HOF

9 Kane ⚽

Subs used · BAY

63'

Ito ↑ ·

Tah ↓

63'

Musiala ↑ ·

Gnabry ↓

63'

Karl ↑ ·

Olise ↓

68'

Jackson ↑ ·

Kane ↓

80'

Laimer ↑ ·

Davies ↓

Subs used · HOF

66'

Bebou ↑ ·

Asllani ↓

71'

Gendrey ↑ ·

Toure ↓

71'

Damar ↑ ·

Kramaric ↓

81'

Djuric ↑ ·

Avdullahu ↓

81'

Moerstedt ↑ ·

Prass ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 5 – 1 HOF

54%

Possession (%)

46%

5.60

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.03

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 5 – 1

▮

Alexander Prass

Yellow Card

Michael Olise

Yellow Card

▮

13'

17'

▮

Kevin Akpoguma

Red Card

H. Kane (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

20'

35'

⚽

A. Kramaric

Assist · F. Asllani · 1–1

44'

▮

Leon Avdullahu

Yellow Card

H. Kane (P)

Penalty · 2–1

⚽

45'

L. Diaz

Assist · H. Kane · 3–1

⚽

45'

Half-time · 3 – 1

Jonathan Tah

Yellow Card

▮

57'

L. Diaz

Assist · M. Olise · 4–1

⚽

62'

H. Ito ↓ · J. Tah ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

J. Musiala ↓ · S. Gnabry ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

L. Karl ↓ · M. Olise ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

63'

66'

⇄

I. Bebou ↓ · F. Asllani ↑

Substitution 1

N. Jackson ↓ · H. Kane ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

68'

71'

⇄

V. Gendrey ↓ · B. Toure ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

M. Damar ↓ · A. Kramaric ↑

Substitution 3

K. Laimer ↓ · A. Davies ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

81'

⇄

L. Djuric ↓ · L. Avdullahu ↑

Substitution 4

81'

⇄

M. Moerstedt ↓ · A. Prass ↑

Substitution 5

L. Diaz

Assist · J. Musiala · 5–1

⚽

89'

Full-time · 5 – 1

Match recap

Bayern München beat 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 5.60 to 2.03. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 9, 14 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Kane (20'), A. Kramaric (35'), H. Kane (45'), L. Diaz (45'), L. Diaz (62'), L. Diaz (89'). Kevin Akpoguma was sent off in the 17' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.76 units (Brier 0.048).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.78	—	62%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 3.5	2.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.55	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.58	—	66%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Draw	7.06	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.09	—	92%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Home Win	1.30	—	77%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	77%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.28	—	80%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.09	—	92%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	98%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.07	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	4.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	9.60	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	9.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	34.00	—	2%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.80	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.76u	−40% ROI

Match Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim February 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.78 — +10.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled