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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — Hamburger SV

Match FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV January 23, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 23 Jan · 19:30
0:0
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Tobias Welz, Germany
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 42% · book 2.55 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.74 ✓
Miss
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 58% · book 1.62 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.26 – 0.35
Δ −0.09
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

FC St. Pauli hosts Hamburger SV in a tightly contested derby with a slight edge to the visitors based on overall quality and recent form. St. Pauli's defensive solidity faces a probing HSV attack, but the home side's compact block and home momentum could frustrate their rivals. The pace is likely moderate, favoring a tactical battle rather than an open game.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away offensive pressure
  • Close recent form with slight away advantage
  • Moderate tempo suggests fewer high-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-4-3 · HAM 4-2-3-1
PAU · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · HAM 22 Vasilj 25 Dźwigała 5 Wahl 3 Mets 11 Pyrka 6 Sands 8 Smith 23 Oppie 16 Fujita 19 Kaars 28 Lage 1 Fernandes 24 Capaldo 44 Vušković 25 Torunarigha 28 Muheim 20 Vieira 21 Remberg 18 Jatta 11 Königsdörffer 38 Røssing-Lelesiit 19 Downs
Subs used · PAU
46' Jones ↑ · Kaars ↓
65' Irvine ↑ · Dzwigala ↓
65' Sinani ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓
Subs used · HAM
14' Balde ↑ · Rossing-Lelesiit ↓
68' Dompe ↑
68' Glatzel ↑ · Downs ↓
68' Philippe ↑ · Konigsdorffer ↓
87' S. Lokonga ↑ · Vieira ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 0 – 0 HAM
43%
Possession (%)
57%
0.26
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.35
8
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
1
5
Shots Inside Box
2
5
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
13
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

10 · 0 – 0
Adam Dźwigała
Yellow Card
▮
7'
14'
⇄
F. Balde ↓ · A. Rossing-Lelesiit ↑
Substitution 1
24'
▮
Nicolai Remberg
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
R. Jones ↓ · M. Kaars ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
J. Irvine ↓ · A. Dzwigala ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
D. Sinani ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
68'
⇄
J. Dompe ↓ ·
Substitution 2
68'
⇄
R. Glatzel ↓ · D. Downs ↑
Substitution 3
68'
⇄
R. Philippe ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑
Substitution 4
87'
⇄
A. S. Lokonga ↓ · F. Vieira ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 2.55 — 42% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
BTTS No 1.74 — 60% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.62 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.75 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.19 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.92 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.02 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.95 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 — 85% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.44 — 72% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.52 — 68% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Draw 3.20 — 29% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Home Win 3.01 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.48 — 57% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Under 0.5 6.75 — 15% Cashed +5.75 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.14 — 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.50 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +2.97u +17% ROI