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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga FC St. Pauli — Hamburger SV

Predictions FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV January 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 23 Jan · 19:30
0:0
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Tobias Welz, Germany
Home Win · PAU
28%
Best 2.90
Draw
29%
Best 2.90
Away Win · HAM
43%
Best 2.71
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.55
Fair odds
2.39
book 2.55 · +6.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +6.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.01
Show model details
Implied probability 33.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 32%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 84.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 68%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 15.1%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 15.4%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.9%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 28.3%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.