Match Austria Vienna vs TSV Hartberg May 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.85 — +11.1% better than the market.

Austria Vienna holds a clear quality edge and a mild home advantage, suggesting they can control the game's rhythm. Their attacking strength faces a solid Hartberg defense, hinting at a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Recent form slightly favors Austria Vienna, but both sides show defensive resilience, pointing to a cautious, low-scoring encounter.

Home momentum with a pressing edge
Compact defensive setups on both sides
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.85 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 54% +0.85u

+85%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AUT 3-4-2-1 · HAR 5-3-2

AUT · 3-4-2-1 5-3-2 · HAR

19 Eggestein

📊 Statistics

AUT 1 – 0 HAR

47%

Possession (%)

53%

0.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.28

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Austria Vienna beat TSV Hartberg 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.95 to 0.28. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 6, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.17 units (Brier 0.155).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.85	—	60%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	56%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	1.88	—	58%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.92	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.79	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.24	—	35%	Cashed	+2.24	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	82%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.18	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.27	—	79%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.34	—	58%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Away Win	4.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−2.17u	−14% ROI